Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’

The responses of lowland tropical communities to climate change will critically influence global biodiversity but remain poorly understood. If species in these systems are unable to toleratewarming, the communities—currently the most diverse on Earth—may become depauperate (‘biotic attrition’). In r...

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Main Authors: Brodie, Jedediah F., Strimas-Mackey, Matthew, Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan, Granados, Alys, Bernard, Henry, Giordano, Anthony J., Helmy, Olga E.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Royal Society 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/1/Lowland-biotic-attrition-revisited-Body-size-and-variation-among-climate-change-%E2%80%98winners%E2%80%99-and-%E2%80%98losers%E2%80%99_2017_Proceedings-of-the-Royal-Society-B-Biological-Sciences.html
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author Brodie, Jedediah F.
Strimas-Mackey, Matthew
Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan
Granados, Alys
Bernard, Henry
Giordano, Anthony J.
Helmy, Olga E.
author_facet Brodie, Jedediah F.
Strimas-Mackey, Matthew
Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan
Granados, Alys
Bernard, Henry
Giordano, Anthony J.
Helmy, Olga E.
author_sort Brodie, Jedediah F.
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The responses of lowland tropical communities to climate change will critically influence global biodiversity but remain poorly understood. If species in these systems are unable to toleratewarming, the communities—currently the most diverse on Earth—may become depauperate (‘biotic attrition’). In response to temperature changes, animals can adjust their distribution in space or their activity in time, but these two components of the niche are seldom considered together.We assessed the spatio-temporal niches of rainforestmammal species in Borneo across gradients in elevation and temperature. Most species are not predicted to experience changes in spatio-temporal niche availability, even under pessimistic warming scenarios. Responses to temperature are not predictable by phylogeny but do appear to be trait-based, being much more variable in smaller-bodied taxa. General circulation models and weather station data suggest unprecedentedly high midday temperatures later in the century; predicted responses to this warming among small-bodied species range from 9% losses to 6% gains in spatio-temporal niche availability, while larger species have close to 0% predicted change. Body mass may therefore be a key ecological trait influencing the identity of climate change winners and losers. Mammal species composition will probably change in some areas as temperatures rise, but full-scale biotic attrition this century appears unlikely
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spelling unimas-154222017-02-24T08:11:05Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/ Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ Brodie, Jedediah F. Strimas-Mackey, Matthew Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan Granados, Alys Bernard, Henry Giordano, Anthony J. Helmy, Olga E. GE Environmental Sciences The responses of lowland tropical communities to climate change will critically influence global biodiversity but remain poorly understood. If species in these systems are unable to toleratewarming, the communities—currently the most diverse on Earth—may become depauperate (‘biotic attrition’). In response to temperature changes, animals can adjust their distribution in space or their activity in time, but these two components of the niche are seldom considered together.We assessed the spatio-temporal niches of rainforestmammal species in Borneo across gradients in elevation and temperature. Most species are not predicted to experience changes in spatio-temporal niche availability, even under pessimistic warming scenarios. Responses to temperature are not predictable by phylogeny but do appear to be trait-based, being much more variable in smaller-bodied taxa. General circulation models and weather station data suggest unprecedentedly high midday temperatures later in the century; predicted responses to this warming among small-bodied species range from 9% losses to 6% gains in spatio-temporal niche availability, while larger species have close to 0% predicted change. Body mass may therefore be a key ecological trait influencing the identity of climate change winners and losers. Mammal species composition will probably change in some areas as temperatures rise, but full-scale biotic attrition this century appears unlikely Royal Society 2017-01-25 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/1/Lowland-biotic-attrition-revisited-Body-size-and-variation-among-climate-change-%E2%80%98winners%E2%80%99-and-%E2%80%98losers%E2%80%99_2017_Proceedings-of-the-Royal-Society-B-Biological-Sciences.html Brodie, Jedediah F. and Strimas-Mackey, Matthew and Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan and Granados, Alys and Bernard, Henry and Giordano, Anthony J. and Helmy, Olga E. (2017) Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 284 (1847). ISSN 09628452 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85011101347&doi=10.1098%2frspb.2016.2335&partnerID=40&md5=d545414f417899f71a9c80473205bfd3 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2016.2335
spellingShingle GE Environmental Sciences
Brodie, Jedediah F.
Strimas-Mackey, Matthew
Jayasilan, Mohd. Azlan
Granados, Alys
Bernard, Henry
Giordano, Anthony J.
Helmy, Olga E.
Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title_full Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title_fullStr Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title_full_unstemmed Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title_short Lowland biotic attrition revisited: Body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
title_sort lowland biotic attrition revisited: body size and variation among climate change ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
topic GE Environmental Sciences
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15422/1/Lowland-biotic-attrition-revisited-Body-size-and-variation-among-climate-change-%E2%80%98winners%E2%80%99-and-%E2%80%98losers%E2%80%99_2017_Proceedings-of-the-Royal-Society-B-Biological-Sciences.html