An early warning indicator of economic vulnerability constructing for Malaysian economy
The initiative to capture the information content behind the rise and fall of the business cycle has popularized the study about leading indicators. Many of the foreign experiences shared by economically advanced countries evidently show that the leading indicators approach work well as a short-te...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Institute of Society Transformation
2015
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/10312/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/10312/1/NO%2015%20An%20early%20warning%20indicator%20of%20economic%20vulnerability%20constructing%20for%20Malaysian%20economy%20%28abstract%29.pdf |
| Summary: | The initiative to capture the information content behind the rise and fall of the business cycle has popularized the study
about leading indicators. Many of the foreign experiences shared by economically advanced countries evidently show that the leading
indicators approach work well as a short-term forecasting tool. Thus, exploring into an indicator-based forecasting tool for business
cycle analysis and economic risk monitoring, it would be an insightful move to the Malaysian economy as well as others
emerging countries. By extending the ideology of indicator construction from the US NBER, the present study demonstrates a
strong potential of the leading indicator approach to be a good gauge of the business cycle movement besides being a practically
functional early warning indicator for economic vulnerability prediction. |
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