Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
2013
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf |
| _version_ | 1848817589023670272 |
|---|---|
| author | Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar |
| author_facet | Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar |
| author_sort | Salman, Ahmad |
| building | UMP Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity in generation expansion, there is a dire need for an assessment model that can evaluate policy in a feedback fashion. The study also aims to expand policy evaluation literature in electricity domain by taking a dynamic systems approach. Design/methodology/approach: System dynamics modelling and simulation approach is used in this study. The model variables, selected from literature, are constituted into casual loop diagram. Later, a stock and flow diagram is developed by integrating planning, construction, operation, and decision making sub-models. The dynamic interactions between the sub-sectors are analysed based on the short-, medium- and long-term policy targets. Findings: Annual capacity constructions fail to achieve short-, medium- and long-term targets. However, the difference in operational capacity and medium- and long-term target are small. In terms of technology, solar photovoltaic (PV) attains the highest level of capacity followed by biomass. Research limitations/implications: While financial calculations are crucial for capacity expansion decisions, currently they are not being modelled; this study primarily focuses on system delays and exogenous components only. Practical implications: A useful model that offers regulators and investors insights on system characteristics and policy targets simultaneously. Originality/value: This paper provides a model for evaluating policy for renewable capacity expansion development in a dynamic context, for Malaysia. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-15T01:24:10Z |
| format | Article |
| id | ump-5396 |
| institution | Universiti Malaysia Pahang |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-15T01:24:10Z |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publisher | Emerald Group Publishing Limited |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | ump-53962015-03-03T09:24:37Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity in generation expansion, there is a dire need for an assessment model that can evaluate policy in a feedback fashion. The study also aims to expand policy evaluation literature in electricity domain by taking a dynamic systems approach. Design/methodology/approach: System dynamics modelling and simulation approach is used in this study. The model variables, selected from literature, are constituted into casual loop diagram. Later, a stock and flow diagram is developed by integrating planning, construction, operation, and decision making sub-models. The dynamic interactions between the sub-sectors are analysed based on the short-, medium- and long-term policy targets. Findings: Annual capacity constructions fail to achieve short-, medium- and long-term targets. However, the difference in operational capacity and medium- and long-term target are small. In terms of technology, solar photovoltaic (PV) attains the highest level of capacity followed by biomass. Research limitations/implications: While financial calculations are crucial for capacity expansion decisions, currently they are not being modelled; this study primarily focuses on system delays and exogenous components only. Practical implications: A useful model that offers regulators and investors insights on system characteristics and policy targets simultaneously. Originality/value: This paper provides a model for evaluating policy for renewable capacity expansion development in a dynamic context, for Malaysia. Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2013 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf Salman, Ahmad and Razman, Mat Tahar (2013) Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia. Kybernetes, 43 (1). pp. 24-39. ISSN 0368-492X. (Published) http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/K-10-2012-0092 DOI:10.1108/K-10-2012-0092 |
| spellingShingle | TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title | Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title_full | Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title_fullStr | Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title_short | Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia |
| title_sort | using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in malaysia |
| topic | TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering |
| url | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf |