Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine

Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by nove...

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Main Authors: Ahmed, Marzia, Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman, Hassan, Md Maruf, Rahaman, Md Atikur, Mohammad, Amin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier B.V. 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/1/Daily%20allocation%20of%20energy%20consumption%20forecasting.pdf
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author Ahmed, Marzia
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Hassan, Md Maruf
Rahaman, Md Atikur
Mohammad, Amin
author_facet Ahmed, Marzia
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Hassan, Md Maruf
Rahaman, Md Atikur
Mohammad, Amin
author_sort Ahmed, Marzia
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (γ) and the kernel parameter (σ2), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.
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spelling ump-438042025-02-13T08:38:23Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/ Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine Ahmed, Marzia Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman Hassan, Md Maruf Rahaman, Md Atikur Mohammad, Amin T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (γ) and the kernel parameter (σ2), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes. Elsevier B.V. 2025 Article PeerReviewed pdf en cc_by_4 http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/1/Daily%20allocation%20of%20energy%20consumption%20forecasting.pdf Ahmed, Marzia and Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman and Hassan, Md Maruf and Rahaman, Md Atikur and Mohammad, Amin (2025) Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine. Results in Control and Optimization, 18 (100518). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2666-7207. (Published) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rico.2025.100518 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rico.2025.100518
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Ahmed, Marzia
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Hassan, Md Maruf
Rahaman, Md Atikur
Mohammad, Amin
Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_full Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_fullStr Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_full_unstemmed Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_short Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
title_sort daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
topic T Technology (General)
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804/1/Daily%20allocation%20of%20energy%20consumption%20forecasting.pdf