Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer

Time series forecasting is crucial across various sectors, aiding stakeholders in making informed decisions, planning for the short and long term, managing risks, optimizing profits, and ensuring safety. One significant application of time series forecasting is predicting Earth surface temperatures,...

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Main Authors: Zuriani, Mustaffa, Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman, Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/1/Improving%20earth%20surface%20temperature%20forecasting.pdf
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author Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad
author_facet Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad
author_sort Zuriani, Mustaffa
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Time series forecasting is crucial across various sectors, aiding stakeholders in making informed decisions, planning for the short and long term, managing risks, optimizing profits, and ensuring safety. One significant application of time series forecasting is predicting Earth surface temperatures, which is vital for civil and environmental sectors such as agriculture, energy, and meteorology. This study proposes a hybrid forecasting model for Earth surface temperature using Deep Learning (DL). To improve the DL model's performance, an optimization algorithm called Barnacles Mating Optimizer (BMO) is integrated to optimize both weights and biases. The forecasting model is trained on a global temperature dataset with seven inputs and compared with DL models optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Harmony Search Algorithm (HSA), and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). Additionally, a comparison is made with the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA) method. Evaluation using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R2) demonstrates the superior performance of DL optimized by BMO, showing minimal errors.
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spelling ump-423462024-08-14T03:38:07Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/ Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer Zuriani, Mustaffa Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Time series forecasting is crucial across various sectors, aiding stakeholders in making informed decisions, planning for the short and long term, managing risks, optimizing profits, and ensuring safety. One significant application of time series forecasting is predicting Earth surface temperatures, which is vital for civil and environmental sectors such as agriculture, energy, and meteorology. This study proposes a hybrid forecasting model for Earth surface temperature using Deep Learning (DL). To improve the DL model's performance, an optimization algorithm called Barnacles Mating Optimizer (BMO) is integrated to optimize both weights and biases. The forecasting model is trained on a global temperature dataset with seven inputs and compared with DL models optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Harmony Search Algorithm (HSA), and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). Additionally, a comparison is made with the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA) method. Evaluation using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R2) demonstrates the superior performance of DL optimized by BMO, showing minimal errors. Elsevier 2024-07-14 Article PeerReviewed pdf en cc_by_4 http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/1/Improving%20earth%20surface%20temperature%20forecasting.pdf Zuriani, Mustaffa and Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman and Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad (2024) Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer. Franklin Open, 8 (100137). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2773-1863. (Published) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fraope.2024.100137 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fraope.2024.100137
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Zuriani, Mustaffa
Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman
Muhammad 'Arif, Mohamad
Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title_full Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title_fullStr Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title_full_unstemmed Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title_short Improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
title_sort improving earth surface temperature forecasting through the optimization of deep learning hyper-parameters using barnacles mating optimizer
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42346/1/Improving%20earth%20surface%20temperature%20forecasting.pdf