Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms

Extremism has become one of the major threats throughout the world over the past few decades. In the last two decades, there has been a sharp increase in extremism and terrorist attacks. Nowadays, terrorism concerns all nations in terms of national security and is considered one of the most priority...

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Main Authors: Hossain, Md Junayed, Abdullah, Sheikh Md, Barkatullah, Mohammad, Miahh, Md Saef Ulla, Sarwar, Talha, Monir, Md Fahad
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
English
Published: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/1/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/2/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine%20learning%20algorithms_ABS.pdf
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author Hossain, Md Junayed
Abdullah, Sheikh Md
Barkatullah, Mohammad
Miahh, Md Saef Ulla
Sarwar, Talha
Monir, Md Fahad
author_facet Hossain, Md Junayed
Abdullah, Sheikh Md
Barkatullah, Mohammad
Miahh, Md Saef Ulla
Sarwar, Talha
Monir, Md Fahad
author_sort Hossain, Md Junayed
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Extremism has become one of the major threats throughout the world over the past few decades. In the last two decades, there has been a sharp increase in extremism and terrorist attacks. Nowadays, terrorism concerns all nations in terms of national security and is considered one of the most priority research topics. In order to support the national defense system, academics and researchers are analyzing various datasets to determine the reasons behind these attacks, their patterns, and how to predict their success. The main objective of our paper is to predict different types of attacks, such as successful suicide attacks, successful non-suicide attacks, unsuccessful suicide attacks, and unsuccessful non-suicide attacks. For this purpose, various machine learning algorithms, namely Random Forest, K Nearest Neighbor, Decision Tree, LightGBM Boosting, and a feedforward Artificial Neural Network called Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), are used to determine the success of suicide terrorist attacks. With an accuracy rate of 98.4% and an AUC-ROC score of 99.9%, the Random Forest classifier was the most accurate among all other algorithms. This model is more trustworthy than previous work and provides a useful comparison between machine learning methods and an artificial neural network because it is less dependent and has a multiclass target feature.
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format Conference or Workshop Item
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institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
institution_category Local University
language English
English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T03:32:45Z
publishDate 2022
publisher Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
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spelling ump-390832023-11-14T03:46:05Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/ Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms Hossain, Md Junayed Abdullah, Sheikh Md Barkatullah, Mohammad Miahh, Md Saef Ulla Sarwar, Talha Monir, Md Fahad QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science QA76 Computer software T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Extremism has become one of the major threats throughout the world over the past few decades. In the last two decades, there has been a sharp increase in extremism and terrorist attacks. Nowadays, terrorism concerns all nations in terms of national security and is considered one of the most priority research topics. In order to support the national defense system, academics and researchers are analyzing various datasets to determine the reasons behind these attacks, their patterns, and how to predict their success. The main objective of our paper is to predict different types of attacks, such as successful suicide attacks, successful non-suicide attacks, unsuccessful suicide attacks, and unsuccessful non-suicide attacks. For this purpose, various machine learning algorithms, namely Random Forest, K Nearest Neighbor, Decision Tree, LightGBM Boosting, and a feedforward Artificial Neural Network called Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), are used to determine the success of suicide terrorist attacks. With an accuracy rate of 98.4% and an AUC-ROC score of 99.9%, the Random Forest classifier was the most accurate among all other algorithms. This model is more trustworthy than previous work and provides a useful comparison between machine learning methods and an artificial neural network because it is less dependent and has a multiclass target feature. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2022 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/1/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine.pdf pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/2/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine%20learning%20algorithms_ABS.pdf Hossain, Md Junayed and Abdullah, Sheikh Md and Barkatullah, Mohammad and Miahh, Md Saef Ulla and Sarwar, Talha and Monir, Md Fahad (2022) Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms. In: Proceedings of 2022 25th International Conference on Computer and Information Technology, ICCIT 2022 , 17-19 December 2022 , Cox's Bazar. pp. 1-6. (187046). ISBN 979-835034602-2 (Published) https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCIT57492.2022.10055100
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
QA76 Computer software
T Technology (General)
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Hossain, Md Junayed
Abdullah, Sheikh Md
Barkatullah, Mohammad
Miahh, Md Saef Ulla
Sarwar, Talha
Monir, Md Fahad
Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title_full Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title_fullStr Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title_short Predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
title_sort predicting the success of suicide terrorist attacks using different machine learning algorithms
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
QA76 Computer software
T Technology (General)
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/1/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/39083/2/Predicting%20the%20success%20of%20suicide%20terrorist%20attacks%20using%20different%20machine%20learning%20algorithms_ABS.pdf