Daily rainfall modeling using neural network

In the early 2020, Indonesia experienced flooding in several areas. This disaster caused a lot of damage and losses. One of the causes of flooding in Indonesia is due to high rainfall. This was not anticipated beforehand so there was a flood. Therefore, research on rainfall in Indonesia is very impo...

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Main Authors: S. D., Permai, M., Ohyver, M. K. B. M., Aziz
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing Ltd 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/1/Daily%20rainfall%20modeling%20using%20neural%20network.pdf
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author S. D., Permai
M., Ohyver
M. K. B. M., Aziz
author_facet S. D., Permai
M., Ohyver
M. K. B. M., Aziz
author_sort S. D., Permai
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In the early 2020, Indonesia experienced flooding in several areas. This disaster caused a lot of damage and losses. One of the causes of flooding in Indonesia is due to high rainfall. This was not anticipated beforehand so there was a flood. Therefore, research on rainfall in Indonesia is very important to anticipate floods. If it is predicted that rainfall is very high and conditions do not allow it to accommodate, the government can prepare watersheds so that rainwater can flow and not be trapped. In this research, the rainfall data were obtained from Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG Indonesia), then the analysis of rainfall data in Indonesia was carried out. There are several statistical methods that can be used. There are ARIMA and Neural Network. In this research, the results of ARIMA model are used as input variables in the Neural Network model. Then there are several numbers of hidden layer in the Neural Network model that are compared. The results of ARIMA model and Neural Network model showed that Neural Network model is better than ARIMA model, because the mean square error (MSE) value of Neural Network model is smaller than ARIMA model.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T03:17:26Z
format Conference or Workshop Item
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institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
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language English
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spelling ump-352002022-11-07T04:57:03Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/ Daily rainfall modeling using neural network S. D., Permai M., Ohyver M. K. B. M., Aziz Q Science (General) QA Mathematics In the early 2020, Indonesia experienced flooding in several areas. This disaster caused a lot of damage and losses. One of the causes of flooding in Indonesia is due to high rainfall. This was not anticipated beforehand so there was a flood. Therefore, research on rainfall in Indonesia is very important to anticipate floods. If it is predicted that rainfall is very high and conditions do not allow it to accommodate, the government can prepare watersheds so that rainwater can flow and not be trapped. In this research, the rainfall data were obtained from Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG Indonesia), then the analysis of rainfall data in Indonesia was carried out. There are several statistical methods that can be used. There are ARIMA and Neural Network. In this research, the results of ARIMA model are used as input variables in the Neural Network model. Then there are several numbers of hidden layer in the Neural Network model that are compared. The results of ARIMA model and Neural Network model showed that Neural Network model is better than ARIMA model, because the mean square error (MSE) value of Neural Network model is smaller than ARIMA model. IOP Publishing Ltd 2021-08-17 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed pdf en cc_by http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/1/Daily%20rainfall%20modeling%20using%20neural%20network.pdf S. D., Permai and M., Ohyver and M. K. B. M., Aziz (2021) Daily rainfall modeling using neural network. In: Journal of Physics: Conference Series, Simposium Kebangsaan Sains Matematik ke-28 (SKSM28) , 28-29 July 2021 , Kuantan, Pahang, Malaysia. pp. 1-11., 1988 (012040). ISSN 1742-6588 (Published) https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1988/1/012040
spellingShingle Q Science (General)
QA Mathematics
S. D., Permai
M., Ohyver
M. K. B. M., Aziz
Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title_full Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title_fullStr Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title_full_unstemmed Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title_short Daily rainfall modeling using neural network
title_sort daily rainfall modeling using neural network
topic Q Science (General)
QA Mathematics
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/35200/1/Daily%20rainfall%20modeling%20using%20neural%20network.pdf