Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach
Adoption of hydrogen energy as an alternative to fossil fuels could be a major step towards decarbonising and fulfilling the needs of the energy sector. Hydrogen can be an ideal alternative for many fields compared with other alternatives. However, there are many potential environmental challenges t...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI
2022
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| Online Access: | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/1/Hydrogen%20energy%20demand%20growth%20prediction%20and%20assessment%20%282021%E2%80%932050%29.pdf |
| _version_ | 1848824232424767488 |
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| author | Talal, Yusaf Mohamd, Laimon Waleed, Alrefae Kadirgama, Kumaran Hayder A., Dhahad Ramasamy, Devarajan Mohd Kamal, Kamarulzaman Belal, Yousif |
| author_facet | Talal, Yusaf Mohamd, Laimon Waleed, Alrefae Kadirgama, Kumaran Hayder A., Dhahad Ramasamy, Devarajan Mohd Kamal, Kamarulzaman Belal, Yousif |
| author_sort | Talal, Yusaf |
| building | UMP Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Adoption of hydrogen energy as an alternative to fossil fuels could be a major step towards decarbonising and fulfilling the needs of the energy sector. Hydrogen can be an ideal alternative for many fields compared with other alternatives. However, there are many potential environmental challenges that are not limited to production and distribution systems, but they also focus on how hydrogen is used through fuel cells and combustion pathways. The use of hydrogen has received little attention in research and policy, which may explain the widely claimed belief that nothing but water is released as a by-product when hydrogen energy is used. We adopt systems thinking and system dynamics approaches to construct a conceptual model for hydrogen energy, with a special focus on the pathways of hydrogen use, to assess the potential unintended consequences, and possible interventions; to highlight the possible growth of hydrogen energy by 2050. The results indicate that the combustion pathway may increase the risk of the adoption of hydrogen as a combustion fuel, as it produces NOx, which is a key air pollutant that causes environmental deterioration, which may limit the application of a combustion pathway if no intervention is made. The results indicate that the potential range of global hydrogen demand is rising, ranging from 73 to 158 Mt in 2030, 73 to 300 Mt in 2040, and 73 to 568 Mt in 2050, depending on the scenario presented. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-15T03:09:45Z |
| format | Article |
| id | ump-33352 |
| institution | Universiti Malaysia Pahang |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-15T03:09:45Z |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher | MDPI |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | ump-333522022-12-28T02:49:50Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/ Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach Talal, Yusaf Mohamd, Laimon Waleed, Alrefae Kadirgama, Kumaran Hayder A., Dhahad Ramasamy, Devarajan Mohd Kamal, Kamarulzaman Belal, Yousif HF Commerce Q Science (General) T Technology (General) TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery Adoption of hydrogen energy as an alternative to fossil fuels could be a major step towards decarbonising and fulfilling the needs of the energy sector. Hydrogen can be an ideal alternative for many fields compared with other alternatives. However, there are many potential environmental challenges that are not limited to production and distribution systems, but they also focus on how hydrogen is used through fuel cells and combustion pathways. The use of hydrogen has received little attention in research and policy, which may explain the widely claimed belief that nothing but water is released as a by-product when hydrogen energy is used. We adopt systems thinking and system dynamics approaches to construct a conceptual model for hydrogen energy, with a special focus on the pathways of hydrogen use, to assess the potential unintended consequences, and possible interventions; to highlight the possible growth of hydrogen energy by 2050. The results indicate that the combustion pathway may increase the risk of the adoption of hydrogen as a combustion fuel, as it produces NOx, which is a key air pollutant that causes environmental deterioration, which may limit the application of a combustion pathway if no intervention is made. The results indicate that the potential range of global hydrogen demand is rising, ranging from 73 to 158 Mt in 2030, 73 to 300 Mt in 2040, and 73 to 568 Mt in 2050, depending on the scenario presented. MDPI 2022-01-02 Article PeerReviewed pdf en cc_by_4 http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/1/Hydrogen%20energy%20demand%20growth%20prediction%20and%20assessment%20%282021%E2%80%932050%29.pdf Talal, Yusaf and Mohamd, Laimon and Waleed, Alrefae and Kadirgama, Kumaran and Hayder A., Dhahad and Ramasamy, Devarajan and Mohd Kamal, Kamarulzaman and Belal, Yousif (2022) Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach. Applied Sciences (Switzerland), 12 (2). pp. 1-16. ISSN 2076-3417. (Published) https://doi.org/ 10.3390/app12020781 https://doi.org/ 10.3390/app12020781 |
| spellingShingle | HF Commerce Q Science (General) T Technology (General) TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery Talal, Yusaf Mohamd, Laimon Waleed, Alrefae Kadirgama, Kumaran Hayder A., Dhahad Ramasamy, Devarajan Mohd Kamal, Kamarulzaman Belal, Yousif Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title | Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title_full | Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title_fullStr | Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title_full_unstemmed | Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title_short | Hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| title_sort | hydrogen energy demand growth prediction and assessment (2021–2050) using a system thinking and system dynamics approach |
| topic | HF Commerce Q Science (General) T Technology (General) TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery |
| url | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/33352/1/Hydrogen%20energy%20demand%20growth%20prediction%20and%20assessment%20%282021%E2%80%932050%29.pdf |