Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction

Photovoltaic (PV) system is developed to harness solar energy as an alternative energy to reduce the dependency on fossil fuel energy. However, the output of the PV system is not stable due to the fluctuation of solar radiation. Hence, solar radiation prediction in advanced is needed to make sure th...

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Main Authors: Lai, Kok Yee, Tan, Lit Ken, Asako, Yutaka, Lee, Kee Quen, Chuan, Zun Liang, Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff, Homma, Koji, Arada, Gerald Pacaba, Gan, Yee Siang, Tey, Wah Yen, Kong, Calvin Leng Sing, Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia, Taguchi, Akira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Akademi Baru 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/1/Cloud%20optical%20depth%20retrieval%20via%20sky%E2%80%99s%20infrared%20image.pdf
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author Lai, Kok Yee
Tan, Lit Ken
Asako, Yutaka
Lee, Kee Quen
Chuan, Zun Liang
Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff
Homma, Koji
Arada, Gerald Pacaba
Gan, Yee Siang
Tey, Wah Yen
Kong, Calvin Leng Sing
Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia
Taguchi, Akira
author_facet Lai, Kok Yee
Tan, Lit Ken
Asako, Yutaka
Lee, Kee Quen
Chuan, Zun Liang
Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff
Homma, Koji
Arada, Gerald Pacaba
Gan, Yee Siang
Tey, Wah Yen
Kong, Calvin Leng Sing
Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia
Taguchi, Akira
author_sort Lai, Kok Yee
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Photovoltaic (PV) system is developed to harness solar energy as an alternative energy to reduce the dependency on fossil fuel energy. However, the output of the PV system is not stable due to the fluctuation of solar radiation. Hence, solar radiation prediction in advanced is needed to make sure the tap changer in PV system has enough time to respond. In this research, the cloud base temperature is identified from the sky’s thermal image. From the cloud base temperature, cloud optical depth (COD) is calculated. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are established by using different combinations of current solar radiation and COD to predict the solar radiation several minutes in advanced. R-squared value is used to measure the accuracy of the models. For prediction in advanced for every minute, with COD as input, always show the highest R-squared value. The highest R-squared value is 0.8899 for the prediction for 1 minute in advanced and dropped to 0.5415 as the minute of prediction in advanced increase to 5. This shows that the proposed methodology is suitable for prediction of solar radiation for short term in advanced.
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institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
institution_category Local University
language English
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publishDate 2019
publisher Akademi Baru
recordtype eprints
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spelling ump-304122022-01-18T02:04:20Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/ Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction Lai, Kok Yee Tan, Lit Ken Asako, Yutaka Lee, Kee Quen Chuan, Zun Liang Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff Homma, Koji Arada, Gerald Pacaba Gan, Yee Siang Tey, Wah Yen Kong, Calvin Leng Sing Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia Taguchi, Akira TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Photovoltaic (PV) system is developed to harness solar energy as an alternative energy to reduce the dependency on fossil fuel energy. However, the output of the PV system is not stable due to the fluctuation of solar radiation. Hence, solar radiation prediction in advanced is needed to make sure the tap changer in PV system has enough time to respond. In this research, the cloud base temperature is identified from the sky’s thermal image. From the cloud base temperature, cloud optical depth (COD) is calculated. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are established by using different combinations of current solar radiation and COD to predict the solar radiation several minutes in advanced. R-squared value is used to measure the accuracy of the models. For prediction in advanced for every minute, with COD as input, always show the highest R-squared value. The highest R-squared value is 0.8899 for the prediction for 1 minute in advanced and dropped to 0.5415 as the minute of prediction in advanced increase to 5. This shows that the proposed methodology is suitable for prediction of solar radiation for short term in advanced. Akademi Baru 2019-06-01 Article PeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/1/Cloud%20optical%20depth%20retrieval%20via%20sky%E2%80%99s%20infrared%20image.pdf Lai, Kok Yee and Tan, Lit Ken and Asako, Yutaka and Lee, Kee Quen and Chuan, Zun Liang and Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff and Homma, Koji and Arada, Gerald Pacaba and Gan, Yee Siang and Tey, Wah Yen and Kong, Calvin Leng Sing and Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia and Taguchi, Akira (2019) Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction. Journal of Advanced Research in Fluid Mechanics and Thermal Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 2289-7879. (Published) http://www.akademiabaru.com/submit/index.php/arfmts/article/view/2560
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Lai, Kok Yee
Tan, Lit Ken
Asako, Yutaka
Lee, Kee Quen
Chuan, Zun Liang
Wan Nur Syahidah, Wan Yusoff
Homma, Koji
Arada, Gerald Pacaba
Gan, Yee Siang
Tey, Wah Yen
Kong, Calvin Leng Sing
Kamadinata, Jane Oktavia
Taguchi, Akira
Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title_full Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title_fullStr Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title_full_unstemmed Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title_short Cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
title_sort cloud optical depth retrieval via sky’s infrared image for solar radiation prediction
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30412/1/Cloud%20optical%20depth%20retrieval%20via%20sky%E2%80%99s%20infrared%20image.pdf