GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique

The nonlinearity of the stock market is widely accepted all over the world and to reveal such non-linearity the most effective technique has proved to be constructed through application of either data mining or neural network. Pharmaceutical sector is a rapidly growing sector in Bangladeshi stock...

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Main Authors: Das, Debashish, Sadiq, Ali Safa, Noraziah, Ahmad
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: 2015
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/1/GCMT-189%20An%20Efficient%20Time%20Series%20Analysis%20for%20Pharmaceutical%20Sector%20Stock%20Prediction%20by%20Applying%20Hybridization.pdf
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author Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Noraziah, Ahmad
author_facet Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Noraziah, Ahmad
author_sort Das, Debashish
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The nonlinearity of the stock market is widely accepted all over the world and to reveal such non-linearity the most effective technique has proved to be constructed through application of either data mining or neural network. Pharmaceutical sector is a rapidly growing sector in Bangladeshi stock market. This paper investigates whether the hybridization of data mining and neural network technique can be applied in predicting the stock price for Pharmaceutical sector of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). This study uses daily trade data for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE. In this paper, we have analysed the behaviour of daily average price for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE. For this study, 6 top listed pharmaceutical companies have been selected to perform the analysis and selected time frame for the research is 15 years (2000-2015). The analysis is performed in two stages where first stage performs the K-means clustering of data mining method to discover the stock with most useful pattern and second stage applies the nonlinear autoregressive with Exogenous Input neural network method to predict the closing price for the selected stock. The prediction performance through the hybridization of data mining and neural network technique is evaluated and positive performance improvement of prediction is observed which is very encouraging for investors. The research also depicts that hybridization of data mining and neural network technique can be applied in determining the stock investment decision for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE though the impact of many different information has greater influence in determining the stock price.
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format Conference or Workshop Item
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institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
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language English
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publishDate 2015
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spelling ump-209382018-04-04T01:38:25Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/ GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique Das, Debashish Sadiq, Ali Safa Noraziah, Ahmad The nonlinearity of the stock market is widely accepted all over the world and to reveal such non-linearity the most effective technique has proved to be constructed through application of either data mining or neural network. Pharmaceutical sector is a rapidly growing sector in Bangladeshi stock market. This paper investigates whether the hybridization of data mining and neural network technique can be applied in predicting the stock price for Pharmaceutical sector of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). This study uses daily trade data for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE. In this paper, we have analysed the behaviour of daily average price for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE. For this study, 6 top listed pharmaceutical companies have been selected to perform the analysis and selected time frame for the research is 15 years (2000-2015). The analysis is performed in two stages where first stage performs the K-means clustering of data mining method to discover the stock with most useful pattern and second stage applies the nonlinear autoregressive with Exogenous Input neural network method to predict the closing price for the selected stock. The prediction performance through the hybridization of data mining and neural network technique is evaluated and positive performance improvement of prediction is observed which is very encouraging for investors. The research also depicts that hybridization of data mining and neural network technique can be applied in determining the stock investment decision for Pharmaceutical sector of DSE though the impact of many different information has greater influence in determining the stock price. 2015 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/1/GCMT-189%20An%20Efficient%20Time%20Series%20Analysis%20for%20Pharmaceutical%20Sector%20Stock%20Prediction%20by%20Applying%20Hybridization.pdf Das, Debashish and Sadiq, Ali Safa and Noraziah, Ahmad (2015) GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique. In: Global Congress on Computing and Media Technologies (GCMT’15) , 25-27 November 2015 , Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India. pp. 1-8.. (Published)
spellingShingle Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Noraziah, Ahmad
GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title_full GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title_fullStr GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title_full_unstemmed GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title_short GCMT-189 An Efficient Time Series Analysis for Pharmaceutical Sector Stock Prediction by Applying Hybridization of Data Mining and Neural Network Technique
title_sort gcmt-189 an efficient time series analysis for pharmaceutical sector stock prediction by applying hybridization of data mining and neural network technique
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20938/1/GCMT-189%20An%20Efficient%20Time%20Series%20Analysis%20for%20Pharmaceutical%20Sector%20Stock%20Prediction%20by%20Applying%20Hybridization.pdf