Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage

The current study highlights the utilization of a non-linear model to analyze an important decision-making process in the study of corporate finance where managers are deciding on the capital structure of a firm. This study compares the results from based on the unbalanced panel data multiple regres...

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Main Authors: Hafezali, I. H., Fakarudin, K., Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin *, Milad, A. S.
Format: Article
Published: Atlantis Press 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/1412/
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author Hafezali, I. H.
Fakarudin, K.
Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin *
Milad, A. S.
author_facet Hafezali, I. H.
Fakarudin, K.
Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin *
Milad, A. S.
author_sort Hafezali, I. H.
building SU Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The current study highlights the utilization of a non-linear model to analyze an important decision-making process in the study of corporate finance where managers are deciding on the capital structure of a firm. This study compares the results from based on the unbalanced panel data multiple regression for firm fixed effects relative to the artificial neural networks, i.e., ANN, with known determinants of capital structure as control variables for a sample of UK firms respectively. Results of the study show that firms are timing away from target levels which challenges the current findings in the literature. The ANN model achieves a better fit based on the root of mean-squared error (RMSE) values which provides a more accurate forecast. Thus, the nature of balancing between cost of being off-target versus benefits gained from timing the equity market is non-linear and which is captured by ANN. Implications from the study allow market players to understand the process of achieving optimal capital structure to maximize firm value and thus benefit all stakeholders.
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publishDate 2019
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spelling sunway-14122020-10-07T04:04:00Z http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/1412/ Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage Hafezali, I. H. Fakarudin, K. Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin * Milad, A. S. HF Commerce The current study highlights the utilization of a non-linear model to analyze an important decision-making process in the study of corporate finance where managers are deciding on the capital structure of a firm. This study compares the results from based on the unbalanced panel data multiple regression for firm fixed effects relative to the artificial neural networks, i.e., ANN, with known determinants of capital structure as control variables for a sample of UK firms respectively. Results of the study show that firms are timing away from target levels which challenges the current findings in the literature. The ANN model achieves a better fit based on the root of mean-squared error (RMSE) values which provides a more accurate forecast. Thus, the nature of balancing between cost of being off-target versus benefits gained from timing the equity market is non-linear and which is captured by ANN. Implications from the study allow market players to understand the process of achieving optimal capital structure to maximize firm value and thus benefit all stakeholders. Atlantis Press 2019-11-12 Article PeerReviewed Hafezali, I. H. and Fakarudin, K. and Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin * and Milad, A. S. (2019) Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage. International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 12 (2). pp. 1282-1294. ISSN 1875-6883 http://doi.org/10.2991/ijcis.d.191101.002 doi:10.2991/ijcis.d.191101.002
spellingShingle HF Commerce
Hafezali, I. H.
Fakarudin, K.
Mohd Thas Thaker, Hassanudin *
Milad, A. S.
Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title_full Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title_fullStr Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title_full_unstemmed Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title_short Artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: Non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
title_sort artificial neural network to model managerial timing decision: non-linear evidence of deviation from target leverage
topic HF Commerce
url http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/1412/
http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/1412/
http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/1412/