Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status

In Malaysia, the well-being of individuals with disabilities remains a concern. Addressing the situation of individuals with disabilities and the aging population is critical for the future of Malaysia. This study utilizes a multistate approach to assess the transition probability of disability amon...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Aziz, Mohd Azmi Haron, Zailan Siri, Noriszura Ismail
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2024
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/1/SS%2021.pdf
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author Muhammad Aziz,
Mohd Azmi Haron,
Zailan Siri,
Noriszura Ismail,
author_facet Muhammad Aziz,
Mohd Azmi Haron,
Zailan Siri,
Noriszura Ismail,
author_sort Muhammad Aziz,
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In Malaysia, the well-being of individuals with disabilities remains a concern. Addressing the situation of individuals with disabilities and the aging population is critical for the future of Malaysia. This study utilizes a multistate approach to assess the transition probability of disability among older adults in Malaysia. We utilize information from the National Health Morbidity Survey (NHMS) 2019 to parameterize a functional Markov Model and employ a cohort-component projection method for projecting the Malaysian population for 2020-2040 by disability status. The probability of becoming disabled increases with age and is higher for females than males. By 2040, it is anticipated that Malaysia will have nearly 1.7 million disabled older persons experiencing at least two of the six physical limitations delineated in the National Health Morbidity Survey 2019. With advancing age, there is a progressive increase in the likelihood of experiencing disability. The projected 13% of Malaysians aged 65 and above by 2040 emphasizes the necessity for enhanced eldercare social security.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:246572025-01-06T06:53:05Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/ Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status Muhammad Aziz, Mohd Azmi Haron, Zailan Siri, Noriszura Ismail, In Malaysia, the well-being of individuals with disabilities remains a concern. Addressing the situation of individuals with disabilities and the aging population is critical for the future of Malaysia. This study utilizes a multistate approach to assess the transition probability of disability among older adults in Malaysia. We utilize information from the National Health Morbidity Survey (NHMS) 2019 to parameterize a functional Markov Model and employ a cohort-component projection method for projecting the Malaysian population for 2020-2040 by disability status. The probability of becoming disabled increases with age and is higher for females than males. By 2040, it is anticipated that Malaysia will have nearly 1.7 million disabled older persons experiencing at least two of the six physical limitations delineated in the National Health Morbidity Survey 2019. With advancing age, there is a progressive increase in the likelihood of experiencing disability. The projected 13% of Malaysians aged 65 and above by 2040 emphasizes the necessity for enhanced eldercare social security. Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2024 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/1/SS%2021.pdf Muhammad Aziz, and Mohd Azmi Haron, and Zailan Siri, and Noriszura Ismail, (2024) Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status. Sains Malaysiana, 53 (11). pp. 3791-3801. ISSN 0126-6039 https://www.ukm.my/jsm/english_journals/vol53num11_2024/contentsVol53num11_2024.html
spellingShingle Muhammad Aziz,
Mohd Azmi Haron,
Zailan Siri,
Noriszura Ismail,
Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title_full Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title_fullStr Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title_full_unstemmed Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title_short Projection of older population in Malaysia by physical disability status
title_sort projection of older population in malaysia by physical disability status
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/24657/1/SS%2021.pdf