The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence

The aim of this paper is to estimate the equilibrium of exchange rates and identify the roles of macroeconomics fundamentals affecting exchange rates using Malaysian data spanning 1970 to 2019. This study adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model to examine the long-run relationships or cointe...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: J. M. Shukri, Muzafar Shah Habibullah, Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani, M. A. M. Suhaily
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2021
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/1/jeko_552-7-2.pdf
_version_ 1848814667421450240
author J. M. Shukri,
Muzafar Shah Habibullah,
Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani,
M. A. M. Suhaily,
author_facet J. M. Shukri,
Muzafar Shah Habibullah,
Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani,
M. A. M. Suhaily,
author_sort J. M. Shukri,
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The aim of this paper is to estimate the equilibrium of exchange rates and identify the roles of macroeconomics fundamentals affecting exchange rates using Malaysian data spanning 1970 to 2019. This study adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model to examine the long-run relationships or cointegration among variables and the dynamic effect within variables in the short-run over the sample period. The results suggest that inflation rate and national income growth rate play important roles in influencing exchange rate movement. The results also reveal that the misalignment of exchange rates is quite small and stable during 1988 to 2019, except for 2015 which was attributed to the weaker growth in China. Consecutively, this study suggests that the parity condition is only important in the long-run in explaining exchange rates behaviour for the sample country.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T00:37:44Z
format Article
id oai:generic.eprints.org:18790
institution Universiti Kebangasaan Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T00:37:44Z
publishDate 2021
publisher Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:187902022-06-23T08:20:01Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/ The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence J. M. Shukri, Muzafar Shah Habibullah, Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani, M. A. M. Suhaily, The aim of this paper is to estimate the equilibrium of exchange rates and identify the roles of macroeconomics fundamentals affecting exchange rates using Malaysian data spanning 1970 to 2019. This study adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model to examine the long-run relationships or cointegration among variables and the dynamic effect within variables in the short-run over the sample period. The results suggest that inflation rate and national income growth rate play important roles in influencing exchange rate movement. The results also reveal that the misalignment of exchange rates is quite small and stable during 1988 to 2019, except for 2015 which was attributed to the weaker growth in China. Consecutively, this study suggests that the parity condition is only important in the long-run in explaining exchange rates behaviour for the sample country. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2021 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/1/jeko_552-7-2.pdf J. M. Shukri, and Muzafar Shah Habibullah, and Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani, and M. A. M. Suhaily, (2021) The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 55 (2). pp. 81-89. ISSN 0127-1962 https://www.ukm.my/jem/issue/v55i2/
spellingShingle J. M. Shukri,
Muzafar Shah Habibullah,
Roseziahazni Abdul Ghani,
M. A. M. Suhaily,
The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title_full The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title_fullStr The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title_full_unstemmed The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title_short The macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in Malaysia : some empirical evidence
title_sort macroeconomic fundamentals of the real exchange rate in malaysia : some empirical evidence
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/18790/1/jeko_552-7-2.pdf