Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting

Reopening strategies are crucial to balance efforts of economic revitalization and bringing back a sense of normalcy while mitigating outbreaks and effectively flattening the infection curve. This paper proposes practical reopening, monitoring and testing strategies for institutions to reintrodu...

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Main Authors: Fatimah Abdul Razak, Expert, Paul
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2021
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/1/28.pdf
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author Fatimah Abdul Razak,
Expert, Paul
author_facet Fatimah Abdul Razak,
Expert, Paul
author_sort Fatimah Abdul Razak,
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Reopening strategies are crucial to balance efforts of economic revitalization and bringing back a sense of normalcy while mitigating outbreaks and effectively flattening the infection curve. This paper proposes practical reopening, monitoring and testing strategies for institutions to reintroduce physical meetings based on SIR simulations run on a student friendship network collected pre-COVID-19. These serve as benchmarks to assess several testing strategies that can be applied in physical classes. Our simulations show that the best outbreak mitigation results are obtained with full knowledge of contact, but are also robust to non-compliance of students to new social interaction guidelines, simulated by partial knowledge of the interactions. These results are not only applicable to institutions but also for any organization or company wanting to navigate the COVID-19 ravaged world.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:174252021-09-14T03:19:10Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/ Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting Fatimah Abdul Razak, Expert, Paul Reopening strategies are crucial to balance efforts of economic revitalization and bringing back a sense of normalcy while mitigating outbreaks and effectively flattening the infection curve. This paper proposes practical reopening, monitoring and testing strategies for institutions to reintroduce physical meetings based on SIR simulations run on a student friendship network collected pre-COVID-19. These serve as benchmarks to assess several testing strategies that can be applied in physical classes. Our simulations show that the best outbreak mitigation results are obtained with full knowledge of contact, but are also robust to non-compliance of students to new social interaction guidelines, simulated by partial knowledge of the interactions. These results are not only applicable to institutions but also for any organization or company wanting to navigate the COVID-19 ravaged world. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2021-05 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/1/28.pdf Fatimah Abdul Razak, and Expert, Paul (2021) Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting. Sains Malaysiana, 50 (5). pp. 1497-1509. ISSN 0126-6039 https://www.ukm.my/jsm/malay_journals/jilid50bil5_2021/KandunganJilid50Bil5_2021.html
spellingShingle Fatimah Abdul Razak,
Expert, Paul
Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title_full Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title_fullStr Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title_full_unstemmed Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title_short Modelling the spread of COVID-19 on Malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
title_sort modelling the spread of covid-19 on malaysian contact networks for practical reopening strategies in an institutional setting
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/17425/1/28.pdf