Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach

Oil is one of the most important commodities and its impact on the global economy is evident through many studies. This study is focused on examining the nine sectors of stock returns in Malaysia. The main objective is to investigate the asymmetric effects of oil price changes (oil price increases a...

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Main Authors: Chiew, Eng Woo, Sek, Siok Kun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/1/jeko_53%283%29-3.pdf
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author Chiew, Eng Woo
Sek, Siok Kun
author_facet Chiew, Eng Woo
Sek, Siok Kun
author_sort Chiew, Eng Woo
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Oil is one of the most important commodities and its impact on the global economy is evident through many studies. This study is focused on examining the nine sectors of stock returns in Malaysia. The main objective is to investigate the asymmetric effects of oil price changes (oil price increases and decreases) on the sectoral stock returns in Malaysia. Besides, this study also examines the spillover effect among the sectoral stock returns in Malaysia relative to the effects of other factors. By using monthly data from 2000 to 2017, the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lags (NARDL) model is applied to model the asymmetric effect of oil price changes. The study detected the asymmetric effects of oil price changes with negative effect dominant, the positive effect and oil price effect is larger in the oil intensive sectors. However, the oil price is not the main determinant factor. The main factors determining the stock returns are exchange rate, Malaysia stock market return, world stock return and sectoral spillover effect. Among these factors, the exchange rate is the main factor that influenced the stock return.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:141362020-02-07T10:49:57Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/ Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach Chiew, Eng Woo Sek, Siok Kun Oil is one of the most important commodities and its impact on the global economy is evident through many studies. This study is focused on examining the nine sectors of stock returns in Malaysia. The main objective is to investigate the asymmetric effects of oil price changes (oil price increases and decreases) on the sectoral stock returns in Malaysia. Besides, this study also examines the spillover effect among the sectoral stock returns in Malaysia relative to the effects of other factors. By using monthly data from 2000 to 2017, the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lags (NARDL) model is applied to model the asymmetric effect of oil price changes. The study detected the asymmetric effects of oil price changes with negative effect dominant, the positive effect and oil price effect is larger in the oil intensive sectors. However, the oil price is not the main determinant factor. The main factors determining the stock returns are exchange rate, Malaysia stock market return, world stock return and sectoral spillover effect. Among these factors, the exchange rate is the main factor that influenced the stock return. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/1/jeko_53%283%29-3.pdf Chiew, Eng Woo and Sek, Siok Kun (2019) Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 53 (3). pp. 1-19. ISSN 0127-1962 http://www.ukm.my/fep/jem/content/2019-3.html
spellingShingle Chiew, Eng Woo
Sek, Siok Kun
Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title_full Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title_fullStr Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title_full_unstemmed Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title_short Examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL approach
title_sort examining asymmetric oil price exposure to assets return in malaysia: a nonlinear ardl approach
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/14136/1/jeko_53%283%29-3.pdf