Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries

This study measures long run relationships and short run relationships between crude oil price, foreign exchange rates and interest rates by using monthly data of Brent crude oil prices with foreign exchange rates and interest rates for seven Southeast Asian countries from January 2010 to October...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Humaida Banu Samsudin, Yap, Chiou Shin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/1/jqma-15-2-paper1.pdf
_version_ 1848813397718597632
author Humaida Banu Samsudin,
Yap, Chiou Shin
author_facet Humaida Banu Samsudin,
Yap, Chiou Shin
author_sort Humaida Banu Samsudin,
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This study measures long run relationships and short run relationships between crude oil price, foreign exchange rates and interest rates by using monthly data of Brent crude oil prices with foreign exchange rates and interest rates for seven Southeast Asian countries from January 2010 to October 2017. The long run relationship is tested using the Johansen cointegration test, while the short run relationship is tested using the Granger causality test. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is built for the country with cointegration between variables. The results of the study show that cointegration is only present for Vietnam and not for six other countries. The Granger causality test found that no causal relationship could be detected between crude oil prices and foreign exchange rates for all tested countries. Unidirectional causalities detected in this study are from interest rates to foreign exchange rates for Brunei and Vietnam and from crude oil prices to Singapore's interest rates
first_indexed 2025-11-15T00:17:33Z
format Article
id oai:generic.eprints.org:13868
institution Universiti Kebangasaan Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T00:17:33Z
publishDate 2019
publisher Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:138682020-01-08T09:19:45Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/ Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries Humaida Banu Samsudin, Yap, Chiou Shin This study measures long run relationships and short run relationships between crude oil price, foreign exchange rates and interest rates by using monthly data of Brent crude oil prices with foreign exchange rates and interest rates for seven Southeast Asian countries from January 2010 to October 2017. The long run relationship is tested using the Johansen cointegration test, while the short run relationship is tested using the Granger causality test. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is built for the country with cointegration between variables. The results of the study show that cointegration is only present for Vietnam and not for six other countries. The Granger causality test found that no causal relationship could be detected between crude oil prices and foreign exchange rates for all tested countries. Unidirectional causalities detected in this study are from interest rates to foreign exchange rates for Brunei and Vietnam and from crude oil prices to Singapore's interest rates Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2019-12 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/1/jqma-15-2-paper1.pdf Humaida Banu Samsudin, and Yap, Chiou Shin (2019) Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries. Journal of Quality Measurement and Analysis, 15 (2). pp. 1-8. ISSN 1823-5670 http://www.ukm.my/jqma/current.html
spellingShingle Humaida Banu Samsudin,
Yap, Chiou Shin
Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title_full Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title_fullStr Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title_short Relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of South East Asian countries
title_sort relationship between crude oil price with foreign exchange rates and interest rates of south east asian countries
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/13868/1/jqma-15-2-paper1.pdf