A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method

A hybrid climate model (HCM) is a novel proposed model based on the combination of self-organizing map (SOM) and analog method (AM). The main purpose was to improve the accuracy in rainfall forecasting using HCM. In combination process of HCM, SOM algorithm classifies high dimensional input data to...

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Main Authors: Natita Wangsoh, Wiboonsak Watthayu, Dusadee Sukawat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2017
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/1/32%20Natita%20Wangsoh.pdf
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author Natita Wangsoh,
Wiboonsak Watthayu,
Dusadee Sukawat,
author_facet Natita Wangsoh,
Wiboonsak Watthayu,
Dusadee Sukawat,
author_sort Natita Wangsoh,
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description A hybrid climate model (HCM) is a novel proposed model based on the combination of self-organizing map (SOM) and analog method (AM). The main purpose was to improve the accuracy in rainfall forecasting using HCM. In combination process of HCM, SOM algorithm classifies high dimensional input data to low dimensional of several disjointed clusters in which similar input is grouped. AM searches the future day that has similar property with the day in the past. Consequently, the analog day is mapped to each cluster of SOM to investigate rainfall. In this study, the input data, geopotential height at 850 hPa from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) are training set data and also the complete rainfall data at 30-meteorological stations from Thai meteorological department (TMD) are observed. To improve capability of rainfall forecasting, three different measures were evaluated. The experimental results showed that the performance of HCM is better than the traditional AM. It is illustrated that the HCM can forecast rainfall proficiently.
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spelling oai:generic.eprints.org:117242018-05-30T00:03:22Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/ A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method Natita Wangsoh, Wiboonsak Watthayu, Dusadee Sukawat, A hybrid climate model (HCM) is a novel proposed model based on the combination of self-organizing map (SOM) and analog method (AM). The main purpose was to improve the accuracy in rainfall forecasting using HCM. In combination process of HCM, SOM algorithm classifies high dimensional input data to low dimensional of several disjointed clusters in which similar input is grouped. AM searches the future day that has similar property with the day in the past. Consequently, the analog day is mapped to each cluster of SOM to investigate rainfall. In this study, the input data, geopotential height at 850 hPa from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) are training set data and also the complete rainfall data at 30-meteorological stations from Thai meteorological department (TMD) are observed. To improve capability of rainfall forecasting, three different measures were evaluated. The experimental results showed that the performance of HCM is better than the traditional AM. It is illustrated that the HCM can forecast rainfall proficiently. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2017-12 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/1/32%20Natita%20Wangsoh.pdf Natita Wangsoh, and Wiboonsak Watthayu, and Dusadee Sukawat, (2017) A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method. Sains Malaysiana, 46 (12). pp. 2541-2547. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/english_journals/vol46num12_2017/contentsVol46num12_2017.htm
spellingShingle Natita Wangsoh,
Wiboonsak Watthayu,
Dusadee Sukawat,
A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title_full A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title_fullStr A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title_full_unstemmed A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title_short A hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
title_sort hybrid climate model for rainfall forecasting based on combination of self-organizing map and analog method
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/11724/1/32%20Natita%20Wangsoh.pdf