Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron

This research focuses on the development of a machine learning model for predicting the water volume that needs to be chilled in Thermal-Energy-Storage-Air-Conditioning (TES-AC) systems. TES-AC technology uses thermal energy storage tanks to store and distribute chilled water during peak hours, redu...

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Main Authors: Sanzana, Mirza Rayana, Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa, Wong, Jing Ying, Maul, Tomas, Yip, Chun-Chieh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2023
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/
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author Sanzana, Mirza Rayana
Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa
Wong, Jing Ying
Maul, Tomas
Yip, Chun-Chieh
author_facet Sanzana, Mirza Rayana
Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa
Wong, Jing Ying
Maul, Tomas
Yip, Chun-Chieh
author_sort Sanzana, Mirza Rayana
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This research focuses on the development of a machine learning model for predicting the water volume that needs to be chilled in Thermal-Energy-Storage-Air-Conditioning (TES-AC) systems. TES-AC technology uses thermal energy storage tanks to store and distribute chilled water during peak hours, reducing the need for the continuous operation of chillers and resulting in significant cost savings and a reduction in carbon emissions. However, determining the optimal amount of chilled water to generate and store each day can be challenging. The aim of this research is to design a machine learning model that takes input variables about the next day’s weather, which day of the week it is, and occupancy data and outputs a predicted water volume that needs to be chilled. It utilizes a Multilayer Perceptron for charging water load prediction in TES-AC systems to assist facility managers in making informed decisions minimizing disruptions. By fine-tuning the hyperparameters of the deep learning model and evaluating different metrics, the model was trained sufficiently and optimized. The model provides a specific water range as a target output, giving facility managers a small set of ranges to choose from, minimizing errors, while the accuracy achieved was 93.4%. The developed model can be retrained for other TES-AC plants, without requiring specific sensor input that might not be available in different TES-AC systems. That makes the developed solution more flexible and can encourage more stakeholders to use TES-ACs which in turn would lead to greener buildings that would benefit the environment.
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spelling nottingham-805662025-09-04T08:20:08Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/ Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron Sanzana, Mirza Rayana Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa Wong, Jing Ying Maul, Tomas Yip, Chun-Chieh This research focuses on the development of a machine learning model for predicting the water volume that needs to be chilled in Thermal-Energy-Storage-Air-Conditioning (TES-AC) systems. TES-AC technology uses thermal energy storage tanks to store and distribute chilled water during peak hours, reducing the need for the continuous operation of chillers and resulting in significant cost savings and a reduction in carbon emissions. However, determining the optimal amount of chilled water to generate and store each day can be challenging. The aim of this research is to design a machine learning model that takes input variables about the next day’s weather, which day of the week it is, and occupancy data and outputs a predicted water volume that needs to be chilled. It utilizes a Multilayer Perceptron for charging water load prediction in TES-AC systems to assist facility managers in making informed decisions minimizing disruptions. By fine-tuning the hyperparameters of the deep learning model and evaluating different metrics, the model was trained sufficiently and optimized. The model provides a specific water range as a target output, giving facility managers a small set of ranges to choose from, minimizing errors, while the accuracy achieved was 93.4%. The developed model can be retrained for other TES-AC plants, without requiring specific sensor input that might not be available in different TES-AC systems. That makes the developed solution more flexible and can encourage more stakeholders to use TES-ACs which in turn would lead to greener buildings that would benefit the environment. Elsevier Ltd 2023-06-05 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en cc_by https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/1/Charging%20water%20load%20prediction%20for%20a%20thermal-energy-storage%20air-conditioner%20of%20a%20commercial%20building%20with%20a%20multilayer%20perceptron-10.1016j.jobe_.pdf Sanzana, Mirza Rayana, Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa, Wong, Jing Ying, Maul, Tomas and Yip, Chun-Chieh (2023) Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron. Journal of Building Engineering, 75 . p. 107016. ISSN 2352-7102 deep learning (DL) ; facility management (FM) ; facility management and maintenance (FMM) ; heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) ; deep neural networks ; multi layer perceptron https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2023.107016 10.1016/j.jobe.2023.107016 10.1016/j.jobe.2023.107016 10.1016/j.jobe.2023.107016
spellingShingle deep learning (DL) ; facility management (FM) ; facility management and maintenance (FMM) ; heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) ; deep neural networks ; multi layer perceptron
Sanzana, Mirza Rayana
Abdulrazic, Mostafa Osama Mostafa
Wong, Jing Ying
Maul, Tomas
Yip, Chun-Chieh
Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title_full Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title_fullStr Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title_full_unstemmed Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title_short Charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
title_sort charging water load prediction for a thermal-energy-storage air-conditioner of a commercial building with a multilayer perceptron
topic deep learning (DL) ; facility management (FM) ; facility management and maintenance (FMM) ; heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) ; deep neural networks ; multi layer perceptron
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/80566/