Does industrial policy impact capital flows?

This study explores the relationship between industrial policy and capital flows, focusing on how government interventions through industrial policy influence the movement of capital across borders. It examines the impact of industrial policy shocks on gross capital inflows and outflows, alongside o...

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Main Author: Mehra, Rishita
Format: Thesis (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/79555/
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author Mehra, Rishita
author_facet Mehra, Rishita
author_sort Mehra, Rishita
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This study explores the relationship between industrial policy and capital flows, focusing on how government interventions through industrial policy influence the movement of capital across borders. It examines the impact of industrial policy shocks on gross capital inflows and outflows, alongside other macroeconomic variables like consumer confidence, GDP per capita and investment. The study employs a panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) methodology, analysing data from 34 primarily high-income countries. The findings suggest that industrial policy shocks cause a drop and then subsequent increase in capital flows after which its effect dissipates. Capital flows are thus highly responsive to business cycle frequencies and changes in investor sentiment. It also finds that industrial policy shocks lead to increases in consumer confidence, but also leads to a fall in investment and GDP per capita levels before the impact of the shock declines. Further, the FEVDs show that apart from previous levels of gross capital inflows and outflows themselves, industrial policy predicts around 60 - 65 percent of their future levels. This research contributes to the literature by shedding light on the relationship between industrial policy and capital flows. The study underscores the need for further investigation into the behaviour of industrial policy and the channels through which it may impact capital flows.
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spelling nottingham-795552024-12-12T04:40:08Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/79555/ Does industrial policy impact capital flows? Mehra, Rishita This study explores the relationship between industrial policy and capital flows, focusing on how government interventions through industrial policy influence the movement of capital across borders. It examines the impact of industrial policy shocks on gross capital inflows and outflows, alongside other macroeconomic variables like consumer confidence, GDP per capita and investment. The study employs a panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) methodology, analysing data from 34 primarily high-income countries. The findings suggest that industrial policy shocks cause a drop and then subsequent increase in capital flows after which its effect dissipates. Capital flows are thus highly responsive to business cycle frequencies and changes in investor sentiment. It also finds that industrial policy shocks lead to increases in consumer confidence, but also leads to a fall in investment and GDP per capita levels before the impact of the shock declines. Further, the FEVDs show that apart from previous levels of gross capital inflows and outflows themselves, industrial policy predicts around 60 - 65 percent of their future levels. This research contributes to the literature by shedding light on the relationship between industrial policy and capital flows. The study underscores the need for further investigation into the behaviour of industrial policy and the channels through which it may impact capital flows. 2024-12-12 Thesis (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en cc_by https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/79555/1/Rishita%20Mehra%20-%2020592907%20-%20MRes%20Dissertation.pdf Mehra, Rishita (2024) Does industrial policy impact capital flows? MRes thesis, University of Nottingham. industrial Policy; capital flows; industrial policy shocks; capital inflows; capital outflows
spellingShingle industrial Policy; capital flows; industrial policy shocks; capital inflows; capital outflows
Mehra, Rishita
Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title_full Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title_fullStr Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title_full_unstemmed Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title_short Does industrial policy impact capital flows?
title_sort does industrial policy impact capital flows?
topic industrial Policy; capital flows; industrial policy shocks; capital inflows; capital outflows
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/79555/