Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns

Abstract The increasing level of financial integration of global markets has created substantial benefits to various firms and investors around the world. However, the increasing level of financial integration raises major concerns when the globe encounters uncertain periods. It is well docum...

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Main Author: Lambrianides, Giorgos
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2022
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/68126/
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author Lambrianides, Giorgos
author_facet Lambrianides, Giorgos
author_sort Lambrianides, Giorgos
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Abstract The increasing level of financial integration of global markets has created substantial benefits to various firms and investors around the world. However, the increasing level of financial integration raises major concerns when the globe encounters uncertain periods. It is well documented in academic literature that over uncertain periods, the volatility of stock markets fluctuate significantly and there is a tendency of increased correlation between stock markets. This specific study, attempts to evaluate the different GARCH models than can estimate volatility, followed by a thorough analysis between the conditional correlations of the SP500 index and the SSE index, WTI oil index and the EPU index during the Global Financial Crises and the COVID-19 pandemic, to examine if the conditional correlations are persistent over different uncertain periods. The eGARCH model seemed to outperform the sGARCH model, which was further used to examine the dynamic conditional correlation between the indexes selected. Specifically, it was observed that the conditional correlation between indexes is time-varying, with relative differences between the conditional correlation of indexes over the Global Financial Crises and the COVID-19 pandemic.
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spelling nottingham-681262023-04-28T09:15:12Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/68126/ Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns Lambrianides, Giorgos Abstract The increasing level of financial integration of global markets has created substantial benefits to various firms and investors around the world. However, the increasing level of financial integration raises major concerns when the globe encounters uncertain periods. It is well documented in academic literature that over uncertain periods, the volatility of stock markets fluctuate significantly and there is a tendency of increased correlation between stock markets. This specific study, attempts to evaluate the different GARCH models than can estimate volatility, followed by a thorough analysis between the conditional correlations of the SP500 index and the SSE index, WTI oil index and the EPU index during the Global Financial Crises and the COVID-19 pandemic, to examine if the conditional correlations are persistent over different uncertain periods. The eGARCH model seemed to outperform the sGARCH model, which was further used to examine the dynamic conditional correlation between the indexes selected. Specifically, it was observed that the conditional correlation between indexes is time-varying, with relative differences between the conditional correlation of indexes over the Global Financial Crises and the COVID-19 pandemic. 2022-01-24 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/68126/1/Dissertation%20Official.docx Lambrianides, Giorgos (2022) Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle Lambrianides, Giorgos
Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title_full Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title_fullStr Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title_short Dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the SP500 and stock index returns
title_sort dynamic conditional correlations over uncertain periods between the sp500 and stock index returns
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/68126/