Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms

This study investigates whether Dividend Policy and Leverage are useful indicators to predict whether firms will conduct SEOs in the form of Rights issues and Open offers in Hong Kong. The motivation behind identifying the key factors is to educate investors on how to avoid getting hurt by high weal...

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Main Author: Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66646/
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author Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber
author_facet Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber
author_sort Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This study investigates whether Dividend Policy and Leverage are useful indicators to predict whether firms will conduct SEOs in the form of Rights issues and Open offers in Hong Kong. The motivation behind identifying the key factors is to educate investors on how to avoid getting hurt by high wealth transfers and negative abnormal announcement returns associated with rights issues and open offers. Unlike previous studies, this study for the first time includes censored and recurrent event data by applying a discrete-time survival analysis method to determine factors that predict the likelihood of conducting SEOs. The findings of this study demonstrate that proxies of dividend policy and leverage are statistically significant. The results also show that SEOs were conducted by firms in weak financial condition as dividend payout ratio negatively impacted the decision to conduct SEOs, while total debt-to-asset ratio had a positive relationship with the likelihood of conducting SEOs. However, dividend policy is a more useful indicator than leverage to predict whether IPO firms will conduct SEOs because there was a significant difference in dividend payout ratio between IPO firms that conducted SEOs versus IPO firms that did not conduct SEOs throughout the observation period from 2003 to 2020. Whereas the total debt-to-asset ratio did not show a significant difference consistently throughout the entire period. Thus, to avoid monetary losses associated with announcements of rights issues and open offers, investors should avoid investing in firms that are decreasing their dividend payout ratio as they have a high probability of conducting SEOs.
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spelling nottingham-666462022-02-28T03:10:18Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66646/ Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber This study investigates whether Dividend Policy and Leverage are useful indicators to predict whether firms will conduct SEOs in the form of Rights issues and Open offers in Hong Kong. The motivation behind identifying the key factors is to educate investors on how to avoid getting hurt by high wealth transfers and negative abnormal announcement returns associated with rights issues and open offers. Unlike previous studies, this study for the first time includes censored and recurrent event data by applying a discrete-time survival analysis method to determine factors that predict the likelihood of conducting SEOs. The findings of this study demonstrate that proxies of dividend policy and leverage are statistically significant. The results also show that SEOs were conducted by firms in weak financial condition as dividend payout ratio negatively impacted the decision to conduct SEOs, while total debt-to-asset ratio had a positive relationship with the likelihood of conducting SEOs. However, dividend policy is a more useful indicator than leverage to predict whether IPO firms will conduct SEOs because there was a significant difference in dividend payout ratio between IPO firms that conducted SEOs versus IPO firms that did not conduct SEOs throughout the observation period from 2003 to 2020. Whereas the total debt-to-asset ratio did not show a significant difference consistently throughout the entire period. Thus, to avoid monetary losses associated with announcements of rights issues and open offers, investors should avoid investing in firms that are decreasing their dividend payout ratio as they have a high probability of conducting SEOs. 2022-02-26 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66646/1/MSc%20F%26I%20Dissertation-Salman%20Kamani-20312159.pdf Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber (2022) Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] dividend leverage financial investment
spellingShingle dividend
leverage
financial
investment
Kamani, Mohammad Salman Akber
Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title_full Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title_fullStr Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title_short Impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of IPO firms to conduct SEOs: survival analysis of Hong Kong listed firms
title_sort impacts of dividend policy and leverage on the probability of ipo firms to conduct seos: survival analysis of hong kong listed firms
topic dividend
leverage
financial
investment
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66646/