Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5

The trade openness and lower barrier for the capital flows have increased the interdependence between the stock market and the foreign exchange market. This study examines the co-movement between the markets in ASEAN-5 member countries (Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand)...

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Main Author: Te, Kai Shuan
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66581/
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author Te, Kai Shuan
author_facet Te, Kai Shuan
author_sort Te, Kai Shuan
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The trade openness and lower barrier for the capital flows have increased the interdependence between the stock market and the foreign exchange market. This study examines the co-movement between the markets in ASEAN-5 member countries (Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand) from January 1, 2017, to July 31, 2021, with the study period covered the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence, this study attempts to analyse the direction of risk transfer and the co-movement between the markets in different investment horizons during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model and the wavelet coherence are applied to examine the return and volatility co-movement between the markets. In line with the stock-oriented model, the results from wavelet coherence show negative correlations between the market returns. However, the direction of causality in return is ambiguous with stronger co-movement observed in volatility across markets. Finally, this study found strong co-movement across investment horizons during the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the portfolio manager can have a better understanding of the behaviour of the markets in different investment horizons and be able to make a more diversified investment portfolio.
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spelling nottingham-665812022-02-28T03:07:37Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66581/ Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5 Te, Kai Shuan The trade openness and lower barrier for the capital flows have increased the interdependence between the stock market and the foreign exchange market. This study examines the co-movement between the markets in ASEAN-5 member countries (Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand) from January 1, 2017, to July 31, 2021, with the study period covered the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence, this study attempts to analyse the direction of risk transfer and the co-movement between the markets in different investment horizons during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model and the wavelet coherence are applied to examine the return and volatility co-movement between the markets. In line with the stock-oriented model, the results from wavelet coherence show negative correlations between the market returns. However, the direction of causality in return is ambiguous with stronger co-movement observed in volatility across markets. Finally, this study found strong co-movement across investment horizons during the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the portfolio manager can have a better understanding of the behaviour of the markets in different investment horizons and be able to make a more diversified investment portfolio. 2022-02-26 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66581/1/MSc%20F%26I%20Dissertation-Te%20Kai%20Shuan-20318632.pdf Te, Kai Shuan (2022) Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] stock market foreign exchange market Covid-19 investment
spellingShingle stock market
foreign exchange market
Covid-19
investment
Te, Kai Shuan
Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title_full Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title_fullStr Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title_short Dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in ASEAN-5
title_sort dynamic co-movement and spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in asean-5
topic stock market
foreign exchange market
Covid-19
investment
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66581/