The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.

The pandemic of COVID-19, which spreads to almost the whole world, has decreased the global GDP of 2020 by 3.3% (The World Bank, 2021), and it is predicted to decrease the global GDP of 2021 by 5.2% (International Monetary Fund, 2020). During this unprecedented pandemic, the stock markets became muc...

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Main Author: Xie, Ruifeng
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2020
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66280/
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author Xie, Ruifeng
author_facet Xie, Ruifeng
author_sort Xie, Ruifeng
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The pandemic of COVID-19, which spreads to almost the whole world, has decreased the global GDP of 2020 by 3.3% (The World Bank, 2021), and it is predicted to decrease the global GDP of 2021 by 5.2% (International Monetary Fund, 2020). During this unprecedented pandemic, the stock markets became much more risky and volatile. As the pandemic is predicted to keep going for a longer time, it is critical for the government and investors to understand how the pandemic affects the stock markets. Knowing that relationship may help them to find better methods to control and reduce the risk of stock markets in the future. Based on existing findings, we conduct an analysis of how the stimulus packages, lockdown policies, cumulative positive cases of COVID-19 and growth rate of cases affect the stock returns in the U.S. and U.K. during the pandemic. Our main findings suggest that the lockdown policies and positive cases have positive impacts on the stock markets in the U.S. and U.K., but only the U.K. stock market negatively respond to the growth rate of cases. Moreover, we find the stimulus packages do not affect both markets. Further, our results suggest that the events do not have different effects on small and large capitalization stocks in both countries.
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spelling nottingham-662802023-04-19T15:04:51Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66280/ The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K. Xie, Ruifeng The pandemic of COVID-19, which spreads to almost the whole world, has decreased the global GDP of 2020 by 3.3% (The World Bank, 2021), and it is predicted to decrease the global GDP of 2021 by 5.2% (International Monetary Fund, 2020). During this unprecedented pandemic, the stock markets became much more risky and volatile. As the pandemic is predicted to keep going for a longer time, it is critical for the government and investors to understand how the pandemic affects the stock markets. Knowing that relationship may help them to find better methods to control and reduce the risk of stock markets in the future. Based on existing findings, we conduct an analysis of how the stimulus packages, lockdown policies, cumulative positive cases of COVID-19 and growth rate of cases affect the stock returns in the U.S. and U.K. during the pandemic. Our main findings suggest that the lockdown policies and positive cases have positive impacts on the stock markets in the U.S. and U.K., but only the U.K. stock market negatively respond to the growth rate of cases. Moreover, we find the stimulus packages do not affect both markets. Further, our results suggest that the events do not have different effects on small and large capitalization stocks in both countries. 2020-12-01 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66280/1/The%20Effects%20of%20Stimulus%20Package%2C%20Lockdown%20and%20Positive%20Cases%20of%20COVID-19%20on%20the%20Stock%20Returns%20in%20the%20U.S.%20and%20U.K..pdf Xie, Ruifeng (2020) The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle Xie, Ruifeng
The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title_full The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title_fullStr The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title_full_unstemmed The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title_short The Effects of Stimulus Package, Lockdown and Positive Cases of COVID-19 on the Stock Returns in the U.S. and U.K.
title_sort effects of stimulus package, lockdown and positive cases of covid-19 on the stock returns in the u.s. and u.k.
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/66280/