Scenario forecasting for global tourism

QR Code

Scenario forecasting for global tourism

This study provides innovative forecasts of the probabilities of certain scenarios of tourism demand. The scenarios of interest are constructed in relation to tourism growth and economic growth. The probability forecasts based on these scenarios provide valuable information for destination policymak...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Wu, Doris Chenguang, Cao, Zheng, Wen, Long, Song, Haiyan
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	2020
Subjects:	scenario forecasting time-varying parameter panel vector autoregressive tourism growth economic growth Brier score
Online Access:	https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/60947/

Similar Items

Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19
by: Zhang, Hanyuan, et al.
Published: (2021)

World productivity growth: a model averaging approach
by: Duygun, Meryem, et al.
Published: (2017)

The Impact of Tourism on the Economic Growth of African Countries
by: Arain, Eamaan Azhar
Published: (2017)

Tourism demand forecasting: opportunities and new approaches
by: Wen, Long
Published: (2019)

Volatility modeling and prediction: the role of price impact
by: Jiang, Ying, et al.
Published: (2019)

Econometric inference in models with nonstationary time series
by: Stamatogiannis, Michalis P.
Published: (2010)

Forecasting tourism demand with an improved mixed data sampling model
by: Wen, Long, et al.
Published: (2020)

An investigation of the civil and defence aviation industry in 2025 using scenario planning
by: El Manialawi, Basma`, et al.
Published: (2006)

A Panel Study of Nuclear Energy Consumption and Economic Growth
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2010)

A Dynamic Panel Study of Economic Development and the Electricity Consumption-Growth Nexus
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2011)

The Causal Dynamics Between Coal Consumption and Growth: Evidence from Emerging Market Economies
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2010)

Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility
by: Harvey, David I., et al.
Published: (2018)

Role of the tourism sector in the Iraqi economy
by: Ahmed, Younis Ali
Published: (2014)

The Co-Movement among Taiwan and International Stock Market
by: Chi, Ching-Hsin
Published: (2006)

Polynomial modeling in dynamic environment based on a particle swarm optimization
by: Chan, Kit Yan, et al.
Published: (2012)

Distance, products and travel companions as key drivers to Malaysian tourism demand
by: Pang, Looi Fai
Published: (2017)

Petroleum depletion scenarios for Australian cities
by: Wight, W., et al.
Published: (2010)

Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Growth: A Panel Investigation of 67 Countries
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2010)

Parameter estimation of smooth threshold autoregressive models.
by: Nur, Darfiana
Published: (1998)

Gain scheduled H-infinity control for nonlinear stochastic systems with mixed uncertainties
by: Liu, Y., et al.
Published: (2013)

Statistical inference in a random coefficient panel model
by: Horváth, Lajos, et al.
Published: (2016)

Scenario planning as an organisational change agent
by: Nicol, Paul
Published: (2005)

Time series properties of the class of generalized first order autoregressive processes with moving average errors
by: Shitan, Mahendran, et al.
Published: (2011)

Inference for autoregressive and moving average models with extreme value distribution via simulation study
by: Samuel, Bako Sunday
Published: (2015)

The business idea: problems of readiness and abandonment as a prerequisite to scenario thinking and planning.
by: Anderson, Paul
Published: (1999)

The forecasting accuracy of models of post-award network deployment: An application of maximum score tests
by: Madden, Gary, et al.
Published: (2015)

The impact of TV mass media campaigns on calls to a national quitline and the use of prescribed nicotine replacement therapy: a Structural vector autoregression analysis
by: Haghpanahan, Houra, et al.
Published: (2017)

Evaluation of Growth Performance of Bamboo (Gigantochiloa sp.) in Integration with Banana (Musa Paradisiaca L.) and Misai Kucing (Orthosiphon Stamineus Benth.)
by: Che Soh, Norhidayah
Published: (2011)

The relationship between corruption and economic growth in 5 Southeast Asian countries / Hafiza Kamaruzzaman
by: Kamaruzzaman, Hafiza
Published: (2018)

Renewable and Non-renewable Electricity Consumption-Growth Nexus: Evidence From Emerging Market Economies
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2011)

Time series modelling of tourist arrivals to Malaysia
by: Shitan, Mahendran
Published: (2008)

The Short-term Impact of Macroeconomic Changes on Stock Return: Study on Chinese Stock Market
by: Li, Hao
Published: (2015)

A intelligent particle swarm optimization for short-term traffic flow forecasting using on-road sensor systems
by: Chan, Kit Yan, et al.
Published: (2013)

Energy Consumption and Growth in South America: Evidence From a Panel Error Correction Model
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2010)

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2009)

Does the Balassa-Samuelson Theory Explain the Link Between Relative Population Growth and Purchasing Power Parity?
by: Hassan, A., et al.
Published: (2013)

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Central America: Evidence From a Panel Cointegration and Error Correction Model
by: Apergis, Nicholas, et al.
Published: (2009)

Is there any link between commodity price and monetary policy? Evidence from Australia
by: Hassan, A., et al.
Published: (2011)

On the preservation of fibre direction during axisymmetric hyperelastic mass-growth of a finite fibre-reinforced tube
by: Soldatos, Konstantinos
Published: (2018)

Real-time monitoring for explosive financial bubbles
by: Astill, Sam, et al.
Published: (2018)