Assessing Exchange Rate Predictability with Statistical and Economic Methods Criterions

This article provides a comprehensive review of the economic models and benchmarks Random work model for out of sample exchange rate forecast. Meanwhile, the assessments of the predictability build upon both economic and statistical methods. By statistical criterion, fundamental economic models prov...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Xie, Tingting/T
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/58816/
Description
Summary:This article provides a comprehensive review of the economic models and benchmarks Random work model for out of sample exchange rate forecast. Meanwhile, the assessments of the predictability build upon both economic and statistical methods. By statistical criterion, fundamental economic models provide no more information than the random walk model. However, the fundamental economic models do provide useful information than random walk by the economic standard.