The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market

This paper uses the FTSE 350 daily data and subsample method to detect the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) in the UK stock market. We performed a range of linear and nonlinear tests on sixteen two-yearly subsamples to capture the time-varying characteristic of market efficiency from 1987 to 2018. B...

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Main Author: WANG, KAIXIN
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57716/
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author WANG, KAIXIN
author_facet WANG, KAIXIN
author_sort WANG, KAIXIN
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper uses the FTSE 350 daily data and subsample method to detect the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) in the UK stock market. We performed a range of linear and nonlinear tests on sixteen two-yearly subsamples to capture the time-varying characteristic of market efficiency from 1987 to 2018. Both linear and nonlinear test results provide evidence that the market efficiency is not an all-or-nothing condition, and stock returns experience predictable and unpredictable periods. In addition, we find there is a downward trend for the January effect in the UK stock market during the sample period. Meanwhile, the analysis result suggests that AMH based on its more realistic assumptions provides a better explanation of the January effect than the Efficient Market Hypothesis.
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spelling nottingham-577162022-11-30T16:52:11Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57716/ The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market WANG, KAIXIN This paper uses the FTSE 350 daily data and subsample method to detect the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) in the UK stock market. We performed a range of linear and nonlinear tests on sixteen two-yearly subsamples to capture the time-varying characteristic of market efficiency from 1987 to 2018. Both linear and nonlinear test results provide evidence that the market efficiency is not an all-or-nothing condition, and stock returns experience predictable and unpredictable periods. In addition, we find there is a downward trend for the January effect in the UK stock market during the sample period. Meanwhile, the analysis result suggests that AMH based on its more realistic assumptions provides a better explanation of the January effect than the Efficient Market Hypothesis. 2019 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57716/1/4341542%20N14031BUSI4020%20The%20Adaptive%20Market%20Hypothesis%EF%BC%9AAn%20empirical%20study%20on%20the%20UK%20stock%20market.pdf WANG, KAIXIN (2019) The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] Adaptive Market Hypothesis;Market efficiency; January effect
spellingShingle Adaptive Market Hypothesis;Market efficiency; January effect
WANG, KAIXIN
The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title_full The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title_fullStr The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title_full_unstemmed The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title_short The Adaptive Market Hypothesis:An empirical study on the UK stock market
title_sort adaptive market hypothesis:an empirical study on the uk stock market
topic Adaptive Market Hypothesis;Market efficiency; January effect
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57716/