An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks

Default risk was likely one of the most significant factors in the 2008 global financial crisis, which caused major adverse impacts on global financial markets. Banks were significantly affected during the crisis and play a pivotal role in the functioning of the global economy. Therefore, it is huge...

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Main Author: SHI, YINGQI
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2019
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57514/
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author SHI, YINGQI
author_facet SHI, YINGQI
author_sort SHI, YINGQI
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Default risk was likely one of the most significant factors in the 2008 global financial crisis, which caused major adverse impacts on global financial markets. Banks were significantly affected during the crisis and play a pivotal role in the functioning of the global economy. Therefore, it is hugely important to investigate why banks default as doing so will help mitigate future crises and maintain the stable growth of the banking sector. Until now, however, far too little attention has been paid to the default risks facing commercial banks in China and it is not clear whether CAMELS variables will affect banks’ decisions to default. The purpose of this investigation is to explore the determinants of default risk for commercial banks in China. Based on this purpose, this study examines 226 commercial banks in China between 2013-2018 using Pooled OLS, fixed-effects model, random-effects model, and generalized method of the moments. In addition, the growth rate of NPLs is employed as a proxy to reflect the default risk of commercial banks. According to a quantitative analysis of CAMELS indicators, ownership, and financing differences, the results of this research show that asset quality of commercial banks is the most significant factor in default risk, and that, in the future, listed banks are less likely to face credit risk than unlisted banks.
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spelling nottingham-575142022-11-30T12:28:06Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57514/ An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks SHI, YINGQI Default risk was likely one of the most significant factors in the 2008 global financial crisis, which caused major adverse impacts on global financial markets. Banks were significantly affected during the crisis and play a pivotal role in the functioning of the global economy. Therefore, it is hugely important to investigate why banks default as doing so will help mitigate future crises and maintain the stable growth of the banking sector. Until now, however, far too little attention has been paid to the default risks facing commercial banks in China and it is not clear whether CAMELS variables will affect banks’ decisions to default. The purpose of this investigation is to explore the determinants of default risk for commercial banks in China. Based on this purpose, this study examines 226 commercial banks in China between 2013-2018 using Pooled OLS, fixed-effects model, random-effects model, and generalized method of the moments. In addition, the growth rate of NPLs is employed as a proxy to reflect the default risk of commercial banks. According to a quantitative analysis of CAMELS indicators, ownership, and financing differences, the results of this research show that asset quality of commercial banks is the most significant factor in default risk, and that, in the future, listed banks are less likely to face credit risk than unlisted banks. 2019-12-01 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57514/1/Yingqi%20SHI%2014318190.pdf SHI, YINGQI (2019) An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle SHI, YINGQI
An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title_full An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title_fullStr An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title_full_unstemmed An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title_short An Investigation of Different Determinants of Default Risks: Evidence from Chinese Commercial Banks
title_sort investigation of different determinants of default risks: evidence from chinese commercial banks
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57514/