Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries

This study examines the dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance in the ASEAN-5 countries (Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines). The study is extended to examine individual oil-exporting and oil-importing country’s reaction towards the volat...

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Main Author: Prabu, Darniya
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2019
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57258/
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author Prabu, Darniya
author_facet Prabu, Darniya
author_sort Prabu, Darniya
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This study examines the dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance in the ASEAN-5 countries (Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines). The study is extended to examine individual oil-exporting and oil-importing country’s reaction towards the volatility of oil prices. A balanced panel data is constructed for the five countries using monthly data from September 1999 to May 2018 where the WTI and Brent Crude oil prices were used as a proxy for world oil prices. The findings suggested that there exists a dynamic relationship between the volatility of WTI and Brent Crude oil prices and the stock market performance of the ASEAN-5 countries. The stock market returns of the oil-exporting countries are affected by the change in WTI prices whereas there is no relationship found between the stock market of the oil-importing countries and oil price volatility. These findings are supported by the stock valuation channel, fiscal channel and output channel which summarizes that there is a relationship between oil prices and stock market performance. By examining this linkage, some policy implications that can be utilised as guiding tools to the government and investors are provided.
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language English
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spelling nottingham-572582020-05-07T10:32:47Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57258/ Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries Prabu, Darniya This study examines the dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance in the ASEAN-5 countries (Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines). The study is extended to examine individual oil-exporting and oil-importing country’s reaction towards the volatility of oil prices. A balanced panel data is constructed for the five countries using monthly data from September 1999 to May 2018 where the WTI and Brent Crude oil prices were used as a proxy for world oil prices. The findings suggested that there exists a dynamic relationship between the volatility of WTI and Brent Crude oil prices and the stock market performance of the ASEAN-5 countries. The stock market returns of the oil-exporting countries are affected by the change in WTI prices whereas there is no relationship found between the stock market of the oil-importing countries and oil price volatility. These findings are supported by the stock valuation channel, fiscal channel and output channel which summarizes that there is a relationship between oil prices and stock market performance. By examining this linkage, some policy implications that can be utilised as guiding tools to the government and investors are provided. 2019-02-23 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57258/1/Darniya%20Prabu.pdf Prabu, Darniya (2019) Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle Prabu, Darniya
Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title_full Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title_fullStr Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title_short Dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the ASEAN-5 countries
title_sort dynamic relationship between oil price volatility and stock market performance: an empirical analysis of the asean-5 countries
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/57258/