Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling
Recent changes in the assessment and management of risks has had the effect that greater importance has been placed on relationships between individuals and within groups to inform decision making. In this paper, we provide the theoretical underpinning for an expected utility approach to decision-ma...
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| Format: | Article |
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Elsevier
2012
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| Online Access: | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/52677/ |
| _version_ | 1848798783826034688 |
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| author | Li, Jiawei Davies, G.J. Kendall, G. Soane, E. Bai, R. Rocks, S.A. Pollard, S.J.T. |
| author_facet | Li, Jiawei Davies, G.J. Kendall, G. Soane, E. Bai, R. Rocks, S.A. Pollard, S.J.T. |
| author_sort | Li, Jiawei |
| building | Nottingham Research Data Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Recent changes in the assessment and management of risks has had the effect that greater importance has been placed on relationships between individuals and within groups to inform decision making. In this paper, we provide the theoretical underpinning for an expected utility approach to decision-making. The approach, which is presented using established evidence support logic (TESLA™), integrating the expected utilities in the forming of group decisions. The rationale and basis are described and illustrated through a hypothetical decision context of options for the disposal of animal carcasses that accumulate during disease outbreaks. The approach forms the basis for exploring the richness of risk-based decisions, and representing individual beliefs about the sufficiency of evidence they may advance in support of hypotheses. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T20:25:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | nottingham-52677 |
| institution | University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T20:25:16Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | nottingham-526772020-05-04T20:21:28Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/52677/ Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling Li, Jiawei Davies, G.J. Kendall, G. Soane, E. Bai, R. Rocks, S.A. Pollard, S.J.T. Recent changes in the assessment and management of risks has had the effect that greater importance has been placed on relationships between individuals and within groups to inform decision making. In this paper, we provide the theoretical underpinning for an expected utility approach to decision-making. The approach, which is presented using established evidence support logic (TESLA™), integrating the expected utilities in the forming of group decisions. The rationale and basis are described and illustrated through a hypothetical decision context of options for the disposal of animal carcasses that accumulate during disease outbreaks. The approach forms the basis for exploring the richness of risk-based decisions, and representing individual beliefs about the sufficiency of evidence they may advance in support of hypotheses. Elsevier 2012-08 Article PeerReviewed Li, Jiawei, Davies, G.J., Kendall, G., Soane, E., Bai, R., Rocks, S.A. and Pollard, S.J.T. (2012) Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling. Expert Systems with Applications, 39 (10). pp. 8604-8610. ISSN 0957-4174 Decision support; Uncertainty; Risk; Group decision making; Evidence support logic; Expected utility; TESLA™ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417412002217?via%3Dihub doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2012.01.193 doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2012.01.193 |
| spellingShingle | Decision support; Uncertainty; Risk; Group decision making; Evidence support logic; Expected utility; TESLA™ Li, Jiawei Davies, G.J. Kendall, G. Soane, E. Bai, R. Rocks, S.A. Pollard, S.J.T. Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title | Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title_full | Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title_fullStr | Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title_full_unstemmed | Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title_short | Evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| title_sort | evidence and belief in regulatory decisions – incorporating expected utility into decision modelling |
| topic | Decision support; Uncertainty; Risk; Group decision making; Evidence support logic; Expected utility; TESLA™ |
| url | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/52677/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/52677/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/52677/ |