Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation

Climate models currently provide conflicting predictions of future climate change across Central Asia. With concern over the potential for a change in water availability to impact communities and ecosystems across the region, an understanding of historical trends in precipitation is required to aid...

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Main Authors: Swann, George E.A., Mackay, Anson W., Vologina, Elena, Jones, Matthew D., Panizzo, Virginia, Leng, Melanie J., Sloane, Hilary J., Snelling, Andrea M., Sturm, Michael
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2018
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51246/
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author Swann, George E.A.
Mackay, Anson W.
Vologina, Elena
Jones, Matthew D.
Panizzo, Virginia
Leng, Melanie J.
Sloane, Hilary J.
Snelling, Andrea M.
Sturm, Michael
author_facet Swann, George E.A.
Mackay, Anson W.
Vologina, Elena
Jones, Matthew D.
Panizzo, Virginia
Leng, Melanie J.
Sloane, Hilary J.
Snelling, Andrea M.
Sturm, Michael
author_sort Swann, George E.A.
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Climate models currently provide conflicting predictions of future climate change across Central Asia. With concern over the potential for a change in water availability to impact communities and ecosystems across the region, an understanding of historical trends in precipitation is required to aid model development and assess the vulnerability of the region to future changes in the hydroclimate. Here we present a record from Lake Baikal, located in the southern Siberian region of central Asia close to the Mongolian border, which demonstrates a relationship between the oxygen isotope composition of diatom silica (δ18Odiatom) and precipitation to the region over the 20th and 21st Century. From this, we suggest that annual rates of precipitation in recent times are at their lowest for the past 10,000 years and identify significant long-term variations in precipitation throughout the early to late Holocene interval. Based on comparisons to other regional records, these trends are suggested to reflect conditions across the wider Central Asian region around Lake Baikal and highlight the potential for further changes in precipitation with future climate change.
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spelling nottingham-512462020-05-04T19:38:57Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51246/ Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation Swann, George E.A. Mackay, Anson W. Vologina, Elena Jones, Matthew D. Panizzo, Virginia Leng, Melanie J. Sloane, Hilary J. Snelling, Andrea M. Sturm, Michael Climate models currently provide conflicting predictions of future climate change across Central Asia. With concern over the potential for a change in water availability to impact communities and ecosystems across the region, an understanding of historical trends in precipitation is required to aid model development and assess the vulnerability of the region to future changes in the hydroclimate. Here we present a record from Lake Baikal, located in the southern Siberian region of central Asia close to the Mongolian border, which demonstrates a relationship between the oxygen isotope composition of diatom silica (δ18Odiatom) and precipitation to the region over the 20th and 21st Century. From this, we suggest that annual rates of precipitation in recent times are at their lowest for the past 10,000 years and identify significant long-term variations in precipitation throughout the early to late Holocene interval. Based on comparisons to other regional records, these trends are suggested to reflect conditions across the wider Central Asian region around Lake Baikal and highlight the potential for further changes in precipitation with future climate change. Elsevier 2018-06-01 Article PeerReviewed Swann, George E.A., Mackay, Anson W., Vologina, Elena, Jones, Matthew D., Panizzo, Virginia, Leng, Melanie J., Sloane, Hilary J., Snelling, Andrea M. and Sturm, Michael (2018) Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation. Quaternary Science Reviews, 189 . pp. 210-222. ISSN 1873-457X Diatom; Mongolia; Paleoclimatology; Paleolimnology; Russia https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277379117306480 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.04.013 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.04.013
spellingShingle Diatom; Mongolia; Paleoclimatology; Paleolimnology; Russia
Swann, George E.A.
Mackay, Anson W.
Vologina, Elena
Jones, Matthew D.
Panizzo, Virginia
Leng, Melanie J.
Sloane, Hilary J.
Snelling, Andrea M.
Sturm, Michael
Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title_full Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title_fullStr Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title_full_unstemmed Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title_short Lake Baikal isotope records of Holocene Central Asian precipitation
title_sort lake baikal isotope records of holocene central asian precipitation
topic Diatom; Mongolia; Paleoclimatology; Paleolimnology; Russia
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51246/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51246/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51246/