Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain

Background Identification of sciatica may assist timely management but can be challenging in clinical practice. Diagnostic models to identify sciatica have mainly been developed in secondary care settings with conflicting reference standard selection. This study explores the challenges of referen...

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Main Authors: Stynes, Siobhán, Konstantinou, Kika, Ogollah, Reuben O., Hay, Elaine M., Dunn, Kate M.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science 2018
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/
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author Stynes, Siobhán
Konstantinou, Kika
Ogollah, Reuben O.
Hay, Elaine M.
Dunn, Kate M.
author_facet Stynes, Siobhán
Konstantinou, Kika
Ogollah, Reuben O.
Hay, Elaine M.
Dunn, Kate M.
author_sort Stynes, Siobhán
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Background Identification of sciatica may assist timely management but can be challenging in clinical practice. Diagnostic models to identify sciatica have mainly been developed in secondary care settings with conflicting reference standard selection. This study explores the challenges of reference standard selection and aims to ascertain which combination of clinical assessment items best identify sciatica in people seeking primary healthcare. Methods Data on 394 low back-related leg pain consulters were analysed. Potential sciatica indicators were seven clinical assessment items. Two reference standards were used: (i) high confidence sciatica clinical diagnosis; (ii) high confidence sciatica clinical diagnosis with confirmatory magnetic resonance imaging findings. Multivariable logistic regression models were produced for both reference standards. A tool predicting sciatica diagnosis in low back-related leg pain was derived. Latent class modelling explored the validity of the reference standard. Results Model (i) retained five items; model (ii) retained six items. Four items remained in both models: below knee pain, leg pain worse than back pain, positive neural tension tests and neurological deficit. Model (i) was well calibrated (p = 0.18), discrimination was area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.95 (95% CI 0.93, 0.98). Model (ii) showed good discrimination (AUC 0.82; 0.78, 0.86) but poor calibration (p = 0.004). Bootstrapping revealed minimal overfitting in both models. Agreement between the two latent classes and clinical diagnosis groups defined by model (i) was substantial, and fair for model (ii). Conclusion Four clinical assessment items were common in both reference standard definitions of sciatica. A simple scoring tool for identifying sciatica was developed. These criteria could be used clinically and in research to improve accuracy of identification of this subgroup of back pain patients.
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spelling nottingham-511052018-04-13T18:11:58Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/ Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain Stynes, Siobhán Konstantinou, Kika Ogollah, Reuben O. Hay, Elaine M. Dunn, Kate M. Background Identification of sciatica may assist timely management but can be challenging in clinical practice. Diagnostic models to identify sciatica have mainly been developed in secondary care settings with conflicting reference standard selection. This study explores the challenges of reference standard selection and aims to ascertain which combination of clinical assessment items best identify sciatica in people seeking primary healthcare. Methods Data on 394 low back-related leg pain consulters were analysed. Potential sciatica indicators were seven clinical assessment items. Two reference standards were used: (i) high confidence sciatica clinical diagnosis; (ii) high confidence sciatica clinical diagnosis with confirmatory magnetic resonance imaging findings. Multivariable logistic regression models were produced for both reference standards. A tool predicting sciatica diagnosis in low back-related leg pain was derived. Latent class modelling explored the validity of the reference standard. Results Model (i) retained five items; model (ii) retained six items. Four items remained in both models: below knee pain, leg pain worse than back pain, positive neural tension tests and neurological deficit. Model (i) was well calibrated (p = 0.18), discrimination was area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.95 (95% CI 0.93, 0.98). Model (ii) showed good discrimination (AUC 0.82; 0.78, 0.86) but poor calibration (p = 0.004). Bootstrapping revealed minimal overfitting in both models. Agreement between the two latent classes and clinical diagnosis groups defined by model (i) was substantial, and fair for model (ii). Conclusion Four clinical assessment items were common in both reference standard definitions of sciatica. A simple scoring tool for identifying sciatica was developed. These criteria could be used clinically and in research to improve accuracy of identification of this subgroup of back pain patients. Public Library of Science 2018-04-05 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en cc_by https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/1/Stynes%20et%20al%202018-%20Plos%20One.pdf Stynes, Siobhán, Konstantinou, Kika, Ogollah, Reuben O., Hay, Elaine M. and Dunn, Kate M. (2018) Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain. PLoS ONE, 13 (4). e0191852/1-e0191852/14. ISSN 1932-6203 http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0191852 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0191852 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0191852
spellingShingle Stynes, Siobhán
Konstantinou, Kika
Ogollah, Reuben O.
Hay, Elaine M.
Dunn, Kate M.
Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title_full Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title_fullStr Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title_full_unstemmed Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title_short Clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
title_sort clinical diagnostic model for sciatica developed in primary care patients with low back-related leg pain
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/51105/