Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey

In order to craft the most appropriate policy responses, it is imperative to identify the degree to which the firms in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) were affected by the global financial crisis, despite the common perception amongst macro analysts that the global financial crisis was mainly confined to i...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Duygun, Meryem, Isaksson, Anders, Kaulich, Florian
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/50941/
_version_ 1848798373455331328
author Duygun, Meryem
Isaksson, Anders
Kaulich, Florian
author_facet Duygun, Meryem
Isaksson, Anders
Kaulich, Florian
author_sort Duygun, Meryem
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In order to craft the most appropriate policy responses, it is imperative to identify the degree to which the firms in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) were affected by the global financial crisis, despite the common perception amongst macro analysts that the global financial crisis was mainly confined to industrialized countries, as opposed to countries in the SSA. Whilst macro figures for various reasons might not display strong signs of financial crisis, because of mitigating effects in sectors less integrated in the world economy, directly interviewing private sector firms in SSA reveals a very different reality. We use a new and unique cross-sectional firm-level dataset mainly collected in 2010 covering some 19 countries and about 2,500 firms and show that SSA countries were indeed affected by the financial crisis. Our results also suggest that productivity levels, labour and TFP, are significantly important indicators for the probability of whether a plant will feel the ramifications of an exogenous shock like the recent financial crisis. Other important variables identified are firms’ per worker levels of human and physical capital, size and age. Moreover, we find strong evidence for the role of trade as a transmission channel of the crisis, as it carries over from northern economies to SSA. It turns out that invoking the destination of exports into the analysis is crucial for understanding how African countries were affected by the crisis.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T20:18:44Z
format Article
id nottingham-50941
institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T20:18:44Z
publishDate 2016
publisher Elsevier
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling nottingham-509412020-05-04T18:03:45Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/50941/ Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey Duygun, Meryem Isaksson, Anders Kaulich, Florian In order to craft the most appropriate policy responses, it is imperative to identify the degree to which the firms in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) were affected by the global financial crisis, despite the common perception amongst macro analysts that the global financial crisis was mainly confined to industrialized countries, as opposed to countries in the SSA. Whilst macro figures for various reasons might not display strong signs of financial crisis, because of mitigating effects in sectors less integrated in the world economy, directly interviewing private sector firms in SSA reveals a very different reality. We use a new and unique cross-sectional firm-level dataset mainly collected in 2010 covering some 19 countries and about 2,500 firms and show that SSA countries were indeed affected by the financial crisis. Our results also suggest that productivity levels, labour and TFP, are significantly important indicators for the probability of whether a plant will feel the ramifications of an exogenous shock like the recent financial crisis. Other important variables identified are firms’ per worker levels of human and physical capital, size and age. Moreover, we find strong evidence for the role of trade as a transmission channel of the crisis, as it carries over from northern economies to SSA. It turns out that invoking the destination of exports into the analysis is crucial for understanding how African countries were affected by the crisis. Elsevier 2016-07-04 Article PeerReviewed Duygun, Meryem, Isaksson, Anders and Kaulich, Florian (2016) Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey. Economic Modelling, 58 . pp. 308-316. ISSN 0264-9993 Firm-level Performance Importers Exporters https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999316301717 doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2016.06.008 doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2016.06.008
spellingShingle Firm-level Performance
Importers
Exporters
Duygun, Meryem
Isaksson, Anders
Kaulich, Florian
Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title_full Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title_fullStr Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title_full_unstemmed Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title_short Did the global financial crisis hit Africa? Insights from a multi-country firm level survey
title_sort did the global financial crisis hit africa? insights from a multi-country firm level survey
topic Firm-level Performance
Importers
Exporters
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/50941/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/50941/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/50941/