Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice

Extreme stimuli are often more salient in perception and memory than moderate stimuli. In risky choice, when people learn the odds and outcomes from experience, the extreme outcomes (best and worst) also stand out. This additional salience leads to more risk-seeking for relative gains than for relat...

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Main Authors: Ludvig, Elliot A., Madan, Christopher R., McMillan, Neil, Xu, Yaqian, Spetch, Marcia L.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Psychological Association 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/
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author Ludvig, Elliot A.
Madan, Christopher R.
McMillan, Neil
Xu, Yaqian
Spetch, Marcia L.
author_facet Ludvig, Elliot A.
Madan, Christopher R.
McMillan, Neil
Xu, Yaqian
Spetch, Marcia L.
author_sort Ludvig, Elliot A.
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Extreme stimuli are often more salient in perception and memory than moderate stimuli. In risky choice, when people learn the odds and outcomes from experience, the extreme outcomes (best and worst) also stand out. This additional salience leads to more risk-seeking for relative gains than for relative losses—the opposite of what people do when queried in terms of explicit probabilities. Previous research has suggested that this pattern arises because the most extreme experienced outcomes are more prominent in memory. An important open question, however, is what makes these extreme outcomes more prominent? Here we assess whether extreme outcomes stand out because they fall at the edges of the experienced outcome distributions or because they are distinct from other outcomes. Across four experiments, proximity to the edge determined what was treated as extreme: Outcomes at or near the edge of the outcome distribution were both better remembered and more heavily weighted in choice. This prominence did not depend on two metrics of distinctiveness: lower frequency or distance from other outcomes. This finding adds to evidence from other domains that the values at the edges of a distribution have a special role.
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spelling nottingham-493282018-04-10T15:43:48Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/ Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice Ludvig, Elliot A. Madan, Christopher R. McMillan, Neil Xu, Yaqian Spetch, Marcia L. Extreme stimuli are often more salient in perception and memory than moderate stimuli. In risky choice, when people learn the odds and outcomes from experience, the extreme outcomes (best and worst) also stand out. This additional salience leads to more risk-seeking for relative gains than for relative losses—the opposite of what people do when queried in terms of explicit probabilities. Previous research has suggested that this pattern arises because the most extreme experienced outcomes are more prominent in memory. An important open question, however, is what makes these extreme outcomes more prominent? Here we assess whether extreme outcomes stand out because they fall at the edges of the experienced outcome distributions or because they are distinct from other outcomes. Across four experiments, proximity to the edge determined what was treated as extreme: Outcomes at or near the edge of the outcome distribution were both better remembered and more heavily weighted in choice. This prominence did not depend on two metrics of distinctiveness: lower frequency or distance from other outcomes. This finding adds to evidence from other domains that the values at the edges of a distribution have a special role. American Psychological Association 2018-03-22 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/1/ExtremesMS_PsyArxiv_010518.pdf Ludvig, Elliot A., Madan, Christopher R., McMillan, Neil, Xu, Yaqian and Spetch, Marcia L. (2018) Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General . ISSN 1939-2222 risky choice; decision making; memory; extreme outcomes; edge effects; end values http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000414 doi:10.1037/xge0000414 doi:10.1037/xge0000414
spellingShingle risky choice; decision making; memory; extreme outcomes; edge effects; end values
Ludvig, Elliot A.
Madan, Christopher R.
McMillan, Neil
Xu, Yaqian
Spetch, Marcia L.
Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title_full Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title_fullStr Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title_full_unstemmed Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title_short Living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
title_sort living near the edge: how extreme outcomes and their neighbours drive risky choice
topic risky choice; decision making; memory; extreme outcomes; edge effects; end values
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/49328/