Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool

Understanding which energy future configurations provide publicly acceptable levels of energy security, affordability, and environmental protection is critical for institutional decision-making. However, little is known about how scenarios influence energy preferences. Here we present nationally rep...

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Main Authors: Demski, Christina, Spence, Alexa, Pidgeon, Nick
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/
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author Demski, Christina
Spence, Alexa
Pidgeon, Nick
author_facet Demski, Christina
Spence, Alexa
Pidgeon, Nick
author_sort Demski, Christina
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Understanding which energy future configurations provide publicly acceptable levels of energy security, affordability, and environmental protection is critical for institutional decision-making. However, little is known about how scenarios influence energy preferences. Here we present nationally representative UK data on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool that encourages engagement with the holistic complexities of system change. Engagement with the tool strengthened existing preferences for renewable energy and intentions to take personal action. Importantly, patterns of energy preferences were influenced by exemplar scenarios, which served as reference points that anchored choices. Carbon capture and storage, nuclear power, biofuels, and changes to heating and travel were particularly impacted by scenarios indicating uncertainty and ambivalence regarding these options. Scenarios (and scenario-building tools) are valuable for engaging citizens about future energy systems. However, care is required in their design and interpretation to reach robust conclusions about underlying preferences and acceptance.
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spelling nottingham-470832017-10-14T08:43:24Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/ Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool Demski, Christina Spence, Alexa Pidgeon, Nick Understanding which energy future configurations provide publicly acceptable levels of energy security, affordability, and environmental protection is critical for institutional decision-making. However, little is known about how scenarios influence energy preferences. Here we present nationally representative UK data on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool that encourages engagement with the holistic complexities of system change. Engagement with the tool strengthened existing preferences for renewable energy and intentions to take personal action. Importantly, patterns of energy preferences were influenced by exemplar scenarios, which served as reference points that anchored choices. Carbon capture and storage, nuclear power, biofuels, and changes to heating and travel were particularly impacted by scenarios indicating uncertainty and ambivalence regarding these options. Scenarios (and scenario-building tools) are valuable for engaging citizens about future energy systems. However, care is required in their design and interpretation to reach robust conclusions about underlying preferences and acceptance. Nature Publishing Group 2017-03-13 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/1/Demski%20et%20al%20Nature%20Energy%20my2050%20postprint.pdf Demski, Christina, Spence, Alexa and Pidgeon, Nick (2017) Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool. Nature Energy, 2 . ISSN 1520-8524 Decision making Energy and society Psychology and behaviour http://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201727 doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.27 doi:10.1038/nenergy.2017.27
spellingShingle Decision making
Energy and society
Psychology and behaviour
Demski, Christina
Spence, Alexa
Pidgeon, Nick
Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title_full Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title_fullStr Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title_full_unstemmed Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title_short Effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
title_sort effects of exemplar scenarios on public preferences for energy futures using the my2050 scenario-building tool
topic Decision making
Energy and society
Psychology and behaviour
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/47083/