Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs

Epidemiology is the study of patterns of health-related states or events in populations. Statistical models developed for epidemiology could be usefully applied to behavioral states or events. The aim of this study is to present the application of epidemiological statistics to understand animal beha...

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Main Authors: Asher, Lucy, Harvey, Naomi D., Green, Martin, England, Gary C.W.
Format: Article
Published: Frontiers Media 2017
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/46062/
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author Asher, Lucy
Harvey, Naomi D.
Green, Martin
England, Gary C.W.
author_facet Asher, Lucy
Harvey, Naomi D.
Green, Martin
England, Gary C.W.
author_sort Asher, Lucy
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Epidemiology is the study of patterns of health-related states or events in populations. Statistical models developed for epidemiology could be usefully applied to behavioral states or events. The aim of this study is to present the application of epidemiological statistics to understand animal behavior where discrete outcomes are of interest, using data from guide dogs to illustrate. Specifically, survival analysis and multistate modeling are applied to data on guide dogs comparing dogs that completed training and qualified as a guide dog, to those that were withdrawn from the training program. Survival analysis allows the time to (or between) a binary event(s) and the probability of the event occurring at or beyond a specified time point. Survival analysis, using a Cox proportional hazards model, was used to examine the time taken to withdraw a dog from training. Sex, breed, and other factors affected time to withdrawal. Bitches were withdrawn faster than dogs, Labradors were withdrawn faster, and Labrador × Golden Retrievers slower, than Golden Retriever × Labradors; and dogs not bred by Guide Dogs were withdrawn faster than those bred by Guide Dogs. Multistate modeling (MSM) can be used as an extension of survival analysis to incorporate more than two discrete events or states. Multistate models were used to investigate transitions between states of training to qualification as a guide dog or behavioral withdrawal, and from qualification as a guide dog to behavioral withdrawal. Sex, breed (with purebred Labradors and Golden retrievers differing from F1 crosses), and bred by Guide Dogs or not, effected movements between states. We postulate that survival analysis and MSM could be applied to a wide range of behavioral data and key examples are provided.
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spelling nottingham-460622020-05-04T18:57:26Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/46062/ Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs Asher, Lucy Harvey, Naomi D. Green, Martin England, Gary C.W. Epidemiology is the study of patterns of health-related states or events in populations. Statistical models developed for epidemiology could be usefully applied to behavioral states or events. The aim of this study is to present the application of epidemiological statistics to understand animal behavior where discrete outcomes are of interest, using data from guide dogs to illustrate. Specifically, survival analysis and multistate modeling are applied to data on guide dogs comparing dogs that completed training and qualified as a guide dog, to those that were withdrawn from the training program. Survival analysis allows the time to (or between) a binary event(s) and the probability of the event occurring at or beyond a specified time point. Survival analysis, using a Cox proportional hazards model, was used to examine the time taken to withdraw a dog from training. Sex, breed, and other factors affected time to withdrawal. Bitches were withdrawn faster than dogs, Labradors were withdrawn faster, and Labrador × Golden Retrievers slower, than Golden Retriever × Labradors; and dogs not bred by Guide Dogs were withdrawn faster than those bred by Guide Dogs. Multistate modeling (MSM) can be used as an extension of survival analysis to incorporate more than two discrete events or states. Multistate models were used to investigate transitions between states of training to qualification as a guide dog or behavioral withdrawal, and from qualification as a guide dog to behavioral withdrawal. Sex, breed (with purebred Labradors and Golden retrievers differing from F1 crosses), and bred by Guide Dogs or not, effected movements between states. We postulate that survival analysis and MSM could be applied to a wide range of behavioral data and key examples are provided. Frontiers Media 2017-07-28 Article PeerReviewed Asher, Lucy, Harvey, Naomi D., Green, Martin and England, Gary C.W. (2017) Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs. Frontiers in Veterinary Science, 4 . 116/1-116/9. ISSN 2297-1769 epidemiology survival analysis multistate models guide dogs animal behavior http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fvets.2017.00116/full doi:10.3389/fvets.2017.00116 doi:10.3389/fvets.2017.00116
spellingShingle epidemiology
survival analysis
multistate models
guide dogs
animal behavior
Asher, Lucy
Harvey, Naomi D.
Green, Martin
England, Gary C.W.
Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title_full Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title_fullStr Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title_full_unstemmed Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title_short Application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
title_sort application of survival analysis and multistate modeling to understand animal behavior: examples from guide dogs
topic epidemiology
survival analysis
multistate models
guide dogs
animal behavior
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/46062/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/46062/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/46062/