Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016

Loan Loss Provision (LLP) is recognized as a layer of buffer that cover the potential loss from non-performing loans. There are substantial incentives in practical for managers to manipulate LLP. In China, the LLP is gradually becoming complete in China since it was established and the regulatory ha...

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Main Author: Bingqing, Pu
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/45757/
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author Bingqing, Pu
author_facet Bingqing, Pu
author_sort Bingqing, Pu
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Loan Loss Provision (LLP) is recognized as a layer of buffer that cover the potential loss from non-performing loans. There are substantial incentives in practical for managers to manipulate LLP. In China, the LLP is gradually becoming complete in China since it was established and the regulatory has put more attention on the supervision of the LLP in banking sector. Previous study has studied Chinese banks’ incentives to use LLP as a tool for different purpose, but most of them just focus on one or two theories and lack of a comprehensive investigation. This paper tests Loan Loss Provisioning behavior of Chinese banks over the period from 2011 to 2016. We firstly employed Stochastic frontier analysis to estimate the cost efficiency scores. Then, Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) Model is used to test the four hypotheses, namely, Income Smoothing, Capital Management, Business cycle and Banks Efficiency. In the results, Chinese banks do not show a pro or counter cyclical income smoothing. However, the study accepts the capital management and the business cycle hypotheses test, which suggests that LLP is used as a tool for capital management and a pro-cyclical provisioning behavior. In addition, banks exhibit a counter cyclical bank efficiency provisioning behavior.
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spelling nottingham-457572018-04-17T15:20:34Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/45757/ Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016 Bingqing, Pu Loan Loss Provision (LLP) is recognized as a layer of buffer that cover the potential loss from non-performing loans. There are substantial incentives in practical for managers to manipulate LLP. In China, the LLP is gradually becoming complete in China since it was established and the regulatory has put more attention on the supervision of the LLP in banking sector. Previous study has studied Chinese banks’ incentives to use LLP as a tool for different purpose, but most of them just focus on one or two theories and lack of a comprehensive investigation. This paper tests Loan Loss Provisioning behavior of Chinese banks over the period from 2011 to 2016. We firstly employed Stochastic frontier analysis to estimate the cost efficiency scores. Then, Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) Model is used to test the four hypotheses, namely, Income Smoothing, Capital Management, Business cycle and Banks Efficiency. In the results, Chinese banks do not show a pro or counter cyclical income smoothing. However, the study accepts the capital management and the business cycle hypotheses test, which suggests that LLP is used as a tool for capital management and a pro-cyclical provisioning behavior. In addition, banks exhibit a counter cyclical bank efficiency provisioning behavior. 2017-09-11 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/45757/1/Dissertation.pdf Bingqing, Pu (2017) Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] Loan Loss Provision; Income Smoothing; Capital management; Business Cycle; Banks Efficiency; China
spellingShingle Loan Loss Provision; Income Smoothing; Capital management; Business Cycle; Banks Efficiency; China
Bingqing, Pu
Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title_full Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title_fullStr Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title_full_unstemmed Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title_short Testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in China from 2011 to 2016
title_sort testing loan loss provisioning hypotheses for banks in china from 2011 to 2016
topic Loan Loss Provision; Income Smoothing; Capital management; Business Cycle; Banks Efficiency; China
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/45757/