Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making

In this paper we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multi-criteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multi-criteria analysis can include both monetary and nonmonetary criteria that are static or dy...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aickelin, Uwe, Reps, Jenna M., Siebers, Peer-Olaf, Li, Peng
Format: Article
Published: Palgrave Macmillan 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44997/
_version_ 1848797045506179072
author Aickelin, Uwe
Reps, Jenna M.
Siebers, Peer-Olaf
Li, Peng
author_facet Aickelin, Uwe
Reps, Jenna M.
Siebers, Peer-Olaf
Li, Peng
author_sort Aickelin, Uwe
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In this paper we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multi-criteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multi-criteria analysis can include both monetary and nonmonetary criteria that are static or dynamic, whereas standard multi-criteria analysis only deals with static criteria and cost benefit analysis only deals with static monetary criteria. The dynamic and uncertain criteria are incorporated by using simulation to explore how the decision options perform. The results of the simulation are then fed into the multi-criteria analysis. By enabling the incorporation of dynamic and uncertain criteria, the dynamic multiple criteria analysis was able to take a unique perspective of the problem. The highest ranked option returned by the dynamic multi-criteria analysis differed from the other decision aid techniques. The results suggest that dynamic multiple criteria analysis may be highly suitable for decisions that require long term evaluation, as this is often when uncertainty is introduced.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T19:57:38Z
format Article
id nottingham-44997
institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T19:57:38Z
publishDate 2018
publisher Palgrave Macmillan
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling nottingham-449972020-05-04T19:43:13Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44997/ Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making Aickelin, Uwe Reps, Jenna M. Siebers, Peer-Olaf Li, Peng In this paper we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multi-criteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multi-criteria analysis can include both monetary and nonmonetary criteria that are static or dynamic, whereas standard multi-criteria analysis only deals with static criteria and cost benefit analysis only deals with static monetary criteria. The dynamic and uncertain criteria are incorporated by using simulation to explore how the decision options perform. The results of the simulation are then fed into the multi-criteria analysis. By enabling the incorporation of dynamic and uncertain criteria, the dynamic multiple criteria analysis was able to take a unique perspective of the problem. The highest ranked option returned by the dynamic multi-criteria analysis differed from the other decision aid techniques. The results suggest that dynamic multiple criteria analysis may be highly suitable for decisions that require long term evaluation, as this is often when uncertainty is introduced. Palgrave Macmillan 2018-07-01 Article PeerReviewed Aickelin, Uwe, Reps, Jenna M., Siebers, Peer-Olaf and Li, Peng (2018) Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 69 (7). pp. 1021-1032. ISSN 1476-9360 Simulation multicriteria decision-making sensitivity analysis port operations logisitcs http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01605682.2017.1410010 doi:10.1080/01605682.2017.1410010 doi:10.1080/01605682.2017.1410010
spellingShingle Simulation
multicriteria decision-making
sensitivity analysis
port operations
logisitcs
Aickelin, Uwe
Reps, Jenna M.
Siebers, Peer-Olaf
Li, Peng
Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title_full Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title_fullStr Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title_full_unstemmed Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title_short Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
title_sort using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision making
topic Simulation
multicriteria decision-making
sensitivity analysis
port operations
logisitcs
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44997/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44997/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44997/