Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?

The development of well-constrained palaeo-proxies that enable the reconstruction of past climate change is becoming an ever more important field of scientific enquiry within the palaeobotanical community, with the potential to deliver broader impacts linked to understanding of future anthropogenic...

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Main Authors: Jardine, Phillip E., Lomax, Barry H.
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2017
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44127/
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author Jardine, Phillip E.
Lomax, Barry H.
author_facet Jardine, Phillip E.
Lomax, Barry H.
author_sort Jardine, Phillip E.
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The development of well-constrained palaeo-proxies that enable the reconstruction of past climate change is becoming an ever more important field of scientific enquiry within the palaeobotanical community, with the potential to deliver broader impacts linked to understanding of future anthropogenic climate change. One of the major uncertainties in predicting climate change is how the hydrological cycle will respond to future warming. Griener and Warny (2015, Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 221, 138-143) suggested that pollen size might be a useful proxy for tracking moisture availability, as pollen size appears to be negatively correlated with moisture. Given the long fossil record of pollen and spores such a proxy would have broad scope and the potential to deliver much needed information. Here we set out to fully evaluate and test the robustness of this proxy. We focus on a number of a key issues: controls on pollen size, data analysis, and finally proxy validation. Using this approach we find that there is little theoretical or empirical support for the original relationship proposed by Griener and Warny. Consequently it is currently premature to use pollen size as a moisture availability proxy in the fossil record. However, we recognise that the technique may have potential and conclude by offering a series of recommendations that would rigorously assess and test for a relationship between pollen size and moisture availability.
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spelling nottingham-441272020-05-04T19:54:39Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44127/ Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability? Jardine, Phillip E. Lomax, Barry H. The development of well-constrained palaeo-proxies that enable the reconstruction of past climate change is becoming an ever more important field of scientific enquiry within the palaeobotanical community, with the potential to deliver broader impacts linked to understanding of future anthropogenic climate change. One of the major uncertainties in predicting climate change is how the hydrological cycle will respond to future warming. Griener and Warny (2015, Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology 221, 138-143) suggested that pollen size might be a useful proxy for tracking moisture availability, as pollen size appears to be negatively correlated with moisture. Given the long fossil record of pollen and spores such a proxy would have broad scope and the potential to deliver much needed information. Here we set out to fully evaluate and test the robustness of this proxy. We focus on a number of a key issues: controls on pollen size, data analysis, and finally proxy validation. Using this approach we find that there is little theoretical or empirical support for the original relationship proposed by Griener and Warny. Consequently it is currently premature to use pollen size as a moisture availability proxy in the fossil record. However, we recognise that the technique may have potential and conclude by offering a series of recommendations that would rigorously assess and test for a relationship between pollen size and moisture availability. Elsevier 2017-11 Article PeerReviewed Jardine, Phillip E. and Lomax, Barry H. (2017) Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability? Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology, 246 . pp. 161-166. ISSN 0034-6667 Pollen size moisture availability Nothofagus phylogeny palaeoclimate proxy https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0034666717301008 doi:10.1016/j.revpalbo.2017.06.013 doi:10.1016/j.revpalbo.2017.06.013
spellingShingle Pollen size
moisture availability
Nothofagus
phylogeny
palaeoclimate proxy
Jardine, Phillip E.
Lomax, Barry H.
Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title_full Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title_fullStr Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title_full_unstemmed Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title_short Is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
title_sort is pollen size a robust proxy for moisture availability?
topic Pollen size
moisture availability
Nothofagus
phylogeny
palaeoclimate proxy
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44127/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44127/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/44127/