The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings

This paper examines whether and how bidders' conservative tone in 10-K filings influences the subsequent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) investment decisions of these US firms from 1996 to 2013. Based on 39,260 firm-year observations, we find, consistent with behavioural consistency theory,...

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Main Authors: Ahmed, Yousry, Elshandidy, Tamer
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43020/
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author Ahmed, Yousry
Elshandidy, Tamer
author_facet Ahmed, Yousry
Elshandidy, Tamer
author_sort Ahmed, Yousry
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper examines whether and how bidders' conservative tone in 10-K filings influences the subsequent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) investment decisions of these US firms from 1996 to 2013. Based on 39,260 firm-year observations, we find, consistent with behavioural consistency theory, that conservative bidders are less likely to engage in M&A deals. Further, those that decide to engage in M&As are likely to acquire public targets and within-industry firms. These bidders are inclined to employ more stock acquisitions than cash acquisitions. Our results also indicate that conservative bidders experience abnormally poor stock returns around the announcements of M&A investments. This provides new insights on the mechanism through which bidders' sentiments influence shareholders' wealth. Overall, these findings highlight the implications of the textual sentiment of corporate disclosure for the forecasting of corporate investment and financing decisions. Our results have practical implications, since they shed light on the value relevance of the information content of major Securities Exchange Commission (SEC)-mandated 10-K filings.
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spelling nottingham-430202020-05-04T20:01:52Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43020/ The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings Ahmed, Yousry Elshandidy, Tamer This paper examines whether and how bidders' conservative tone in 10-K filings influences the subsequent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) investment decisions of these US firms from 1996 to 2013. Based on 39,260 firm-year observations, we find, consistent with behavioural consistency theory, that conservative bidders are less likely to engage in M&A deals. Further, those that decide to engage in M&As are likely to acquire public targets and within-industry firms. These bidders are inclined to employ more stock acquisitions than cash acquisitions. Our results also indicate that conservative bidders experience abnormally poor stock returns around the announcements of M&A investments. This provides new insights on the mechanism through which bidders' sentiments influence shareholders' wealth. Overall, these findings highlight the implications of the textual sentiment of corporate disclosure for the forecasting of corporate investment and financing decisions. Our results have practical implications, since they shed light on the value relevance of the information content of major Securities Exchange Commission (SEC)-mandated 10-K filings. Elsevier 2016-07 Article PeerReviewed Ahmed, Yousry and Elshandidy, Tamer (2016) The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings. International Review of Financial Analysis, 46 . pp. 176-190. ISSN 1057-5219 Textual sentiment; Bidders' conservative tone; Behavioural consistency theory; Risk averse; Payment method; Market reaction; Types of acquisitions http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521916300813 doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2016.05.006 doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2016.05.006
spellingShingle Textual sentiment; Bidders' conservative tone; Behavioural consistency theory; Risk averse; Payment method; Market reaction; Types of acquisitions
Ahmed, Yousry
Elshandidy, Tamer
The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title_full The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title_fullStr The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title_full_unstemmed The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title_short The effect of bidder conservatism on M&A decisions: text-based evidence from US 10-K filings
title_sort effect of bidder conservatism on m&a decisions: text-based evidence from us 10-k filings
topic Textual sentiment; Bidders' conservative tone; Behavioural consistency theory; Risk averse; Payment method; Market reaction; Types of acquisitions
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43020/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43020/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43020/