Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest
Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2...
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| Format: | Article |
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Taylor & Francis
2017
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| Online Access: | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43015/ |
| _version_ | 1848796623599042560 |
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| author | Lankina, Tomila Skovoroda, Rodion |
| author_facet | Lankina, Tomila Skovoroda, Rodion |
| author_sort | Lankina, Tomila |
| building | Nottingham Research Data Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2012 presidential elections. We find that regional fraud is associated with post-electoral sub-national protests. Our analysis has important theoretical and policy implications. Protests that not only target specific issues like fraud, but show awareness of where it had been perpetrated can be much more effective than those where blame attribution is vague and generic. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:50:56Z |
| format | Article |
| id | nottingham-43015 |
| institution | University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:50:56Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | nottingham-430152020-05-04T19:59:24Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43015/ Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest Lankina, Tomila Skovoroda, Rodion Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2012 presidential elections. We find that regional fraud is associated with post-electoral sub-national protests. Our analysis has important theoretical and policy implications. Protests that not only target specific issues like fraud, but show awareness of where it had been perpetrated can be much more effective than those where blame attribution is vague and generic. Taylor & Francis 2017 Article PeerReviewed Lankina, Tomila and Skovoroda, Rodion (2017) Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest. East European Politics, 33 (2). pp. 253-274. ISSN 2159-9173 Protests electoral fraud last-digit fraud detection method Russia sub-national local competitive authoritarian electoral authoritarian uncertainty democracy http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/21599165.2016.1261018 doi:10.1080/21599165.2016.1261018 doi:10.1080/21599165.2016.1261018 |
| spellingShingle | Protests electoral fraud last-digit fraud detection method Russia sub-national local competitive authoritarian electoral authoritarian uncertainty democracy Lankina, Tomila Skovoroda, Rodion Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title | Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title_full | Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title_fullStr | Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title_full_unstemmed | Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title_short | Regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on Russian protest |
| title_sort | regional protest and electoral fraud: evidence from analysis of new data on russian protest |
| topic | Protests electoral fraud last-digit fraud detection method Russia sub-national local competitive authoritarian electoral authoritarian uncertainty democracy |
| url | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43015/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43015/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/43015/ |