Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a progressive and inevitably fatal disorder, has a highly variable clinical course. Biomarkers that reflect disease activity are urgently needed to inform patient management and for use as biomarkers of therapeutic response (theragnostic biomarkers) in clin...

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Main Authors: Jenkins, R. Gisli, Simpson, Juliet K., Saini, Gauri, Bentley, Jane H., Russell, Anne-Marie, Braybrooke, Rebecca, Molyneux, Philip L., McKeever, Tricia M., Wells, Athol U., Flynn, Aiden, Hubbard, Richard B., Leeming, Diana J., Marshall, Richard P., Karsdal, Morten A., Lukey, Pauline T., Maher, Toby M.
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Published: Elsevier 2015
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42455/
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author Jenkins, R. Gisli
Simpson, Juliet K.
Saini, Gauri
Bentley, Jane H.
Russell, Anne-Marie
Braybrooke, Rebecca
Molyneux, Philip L.
McKeever, Tricia M.
Wells, Athol U.
Flynn, Aiden
Hubbard, Richard B.
Leeming, Diana J.
Marshall, Richard P.
Karsdal, Morten A.
Lukey, Pauline T.
Maher, Toby M.
author_facet Jenkins, R. Gisli
Simpson, Juliet K.
Saini, Gauri
Bentley, Jane H.
Russell, Anne-Marie
Braybrooke, Rebecca
Molyneux, Philip L.
McKeever, Tricia M.
Wells, Athol U.
Flynn, Aiden
Hubbard, Richard B.
Leeming, Diana J.
Marshall, Richard P.
Karsdal, Morten A.
Lukey, Pauline T.
Maher, Toby M.
author_sort Jenkins, R. Gisli
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a progressive and inevitably fatal disorder, has a highly variable clinical course. Biomarkers that reflect disease activity are urgently needed to inform patient management and for use as biomarkers of therapeutic response (theragnostic biomarkers) in clinical trials. We aimed to determine whether dynamic change in markers of extracellular matrix (ECM) turnover predicts progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis as determined by change in forced vital capacity and death. METHODS: In this ongoing prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study (PROFILE), participants with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis or idiopathic non-specific interstitial pneumonia diagnosed within the preceding 6 months were recruited from two coordinating centres (Nottingham, UK, and, Royal Brompton Hospital, London, UK). Serum samples were prospectively collected at baseline, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months and were analysed for a panel of novel matrix metalloprotease (MMP)-degraded ECM proteins, by ELISA-based, neoepitope assay. 11 neoepitopes were tested in a discovery cohort of 55 patients to identify biomarkers of sufficient rigour for more detailed analyses. Eight were then further assessed in a validation cohort of 134 patients with 50 age-matched and sex-matched controls. Changes in biomarker concentrations were related to subsequent progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (defined as death or decline in forced vital capacity >10% at 12 months after study enrolment) using a repeated measures model. The PROFILE study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, numbers NCT01134822 and NCT01110694. FINDINGS: Of 214 eligible participants recruited between Sept 1, 2010, and March 31, 2012, 189 had a confirmed diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and were included in subsequent analyses. In the discovery cohort, mean concentrations of seven neoepitopes (BGM, p=0.009; C1M, p=0.009; C3M, p=0.046; C6M, p=0.032; CRPM, p=0.008; ELM2, p=0.02; and VICM, p=0.0007) differed significantly between healthy controls and participants with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Baseline concentrations of six neoepitopes (C1M, p=0.012; C3A, p=0.012; C3M, p=0.0005; C6M, p=0.0003; CRPM, p=0.021; and VICM, p=0.046) were significantly higher in patients with progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=32) than in those with stable disease (n=23). In the validation cohort, mean concentrations of C1M (p=0.001), C3M (p=0.044), C6M (p=0.003), and CRPM (p=0.024) at baseline were higher in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis than in healthy controls. When assessed longitudinally, concentrations of six neoepitopes (BGM, C1M, C3A, C3M, C6M, and CRPM) were significantly higher in patients with progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=71) than in patients with stable idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=60) by 6 months. Baseline concentrations of two neoepitopes were associated with increased mortality (C1M: HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.14-2.31], p=0.0069; C3A: 1.91 [1.06-3.46], p=0.032). The rate of change between baseline and 3 months of six neoepitopes (BGM: HR 1.084 [95% CI 1.03-1.14], p=0.0019; C1M: 1.01 [1.003-1.017], p=0.0039; C3M: 1.106 [1.045-1.170], p=0.0005; C5M: 1.003 [1.001-1.005], p=0.0011; C6M: 1.042 [1.007-1.078], p=0.017; and CRPM: 1.38 [1.16-1.63], p=0.0002) was strongly predictive of overall survival, and the increased risk was proportional to the magnitude of change in neoepitope concentrations. The strongest association with 3-month rate of biomarker change was recorded for CRPM; greater than 0 ng/mL per month conferred a HR of 2.16 (95% CI 1.15-4.07), whereas a rate greater than 1 ng/mL per month resulted in an HR 4.08 (2.14-7.8), and a rate greater than 1.7 ng/mL per month was associated with an HR 6.61 (2.74-15.94). INTERPRETATION: Concentrations of protein fragments generated by MMP activity are increased in the serum of individuals with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis compared with healthy controls. Increased neoepitope concentrations were associated with disease progression, and the rate of this increase predicted survival. Serial measurements of neoepitopes have potential to be used as theragnostic biomarkers in clinical trials and to guide management of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.
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spelling nottingham-424552020-05-04T20:08:30Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42455/ Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study Jenkins, R. Gisli Simpson, Juliet K. Saini, Gauri Bentley, Jane H. Russell, Anne-Marie Braybrooke, Rebecca Molyneux, Philip L. McKeever, Tricia M. Wells, Athol U. Flynn, Aiden Hubbard, Richard B. Leeming, Diana J. Marshall, Richard P. Karsdal, Morten A. Lukey, Pauline T. Maher, Toby M. BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a progressive and inevitably fatal disorder, has a highly variable clinical course. Biomarkers that reflect disease activity are urgently needed to inform patient management and for use as biomarkers of therapeutic response (theragnostic biomarkers) in clinical trials. We aimed to determine whether dynamic change in markers of extracellular matrix (ECM) turnover predicts progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis as determined by change in forced vital capacity and death. METHODS: In this ongoing prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study (PROFILE), participants with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis or idiopathic non-specific interstitial pneumonia diagnosed within the preceding 6 months were recruited from two coordinating centres (Nottingham, UK, and, Royal Brompton Hospital, London, UK). Serum samples were prospectively collected at baseline, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months and were analysed for a panel of novel matrix metalloprotease (MMP)-degraded ECM proteins, by ELISA-based, neoepitope assay. 11 neoepitopes were tested in a discovery cohort of 55 patients to identify biomarkers of sufficient rigour for more detailed analyses. Eight were then further assessed in a validation cohort of 134 patients with 50 age-matched and sex-matched controls. Changes in biomarker concentrations were related to subsequent progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (defined as death or decline in forced vital capacity >10% at 12 months after study enrolment) using a repeated measures model. The PROFILE study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, numbers NCT01134822 and NCT01110694. FINDINGS: Of 214 eligible participants recruited between Sept 1, 2010, and March 31, 2012, 189 had a confirmed diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and were included in subsequent analyses. In the discovery cohort, mean concentrations of seven neoepitopes (BGM, p=0.009; C1M, p=0.009; C3M, p=0.046; C6M, p=0.032; CRPM, p=0.008; ELM2, p=0.02; and VICM, p=0.0007) differed significantly between healthy controls and participants with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Baseline concentrations of six neoepitopes (C1M, p=0.012; C3A, p=0.012; C3M, p=0.0005; C6M, p=0.0003; CRPM, p=0.021; and VICM, p=0.046) were significantly higher in patients with progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=32) than in those with stable disease (n=23). In the validation cohort, mean concentrations of C1M (p=0.001), C3M (p=0.044), C6M (p=0.003), and CRPM (p=0.024) at baseline were higher in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis than in healthy controls. When assessed longitudinally, concentrations of six neoepitopes (BGM, C1M, C3A, C3M, C6M, and CRPM) were significantly higher in patients with progressive idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=71) than in patients with stable idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (n=60) by 6 months. Baseline concentrations of two neoepitopes were associated with increased mortality (C1M: HR 1.62 [95% CI 1.14-2.31], p=0.0069; C3A: 1.91 [1.06-3.46], p=0.032). The rate of change between baseline and 3 months of six neoepitopes (BGM: HR 1.084 [95% CI 1.03-1.14], p=0.0019; C1M: 1.01 [1.003-1.017], p=0.0039; C3M: 1.106 [1.045-1.170], p=0.0005; C5M: 1.003 [1.001-1.005], p=0.0011; C6M: 1.042 [1.007-1.078], p=0.017; and CRPM: 1.38 [1.16-1.63], p=0.0002) was strongly predictive of overall survival, and the increased risk was proportional to the magnitude of change in neoepitope concentrations. The strongest association with 3-month rate of biomarker change was recorded for CRPM; greater than 0 ng/mL per month conferred a HR of 2.16 (95% CI 1.15-4.07), whereas a rate greater than 1 ng/mL per month resulted in an HR 4.08 (2.14-7.8), and a rate greater than 1.7 ng/mL per month was associated with an HR 6.61 (2.74-15.94). INTERPRETATION: Concentrations of protein fragments generated by MMP activity are increased in the serum of individuals with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis compared with healthy controls. Increased neoepitope concentrations were associated with disease progression, and the rate of this increase predicted survival. Serial measurements of neoepitopes have potential to be used as theragnostic biomarkers in clinical trials and to guide management of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Elsevier 2015-06 Article PeerReviewed Jenkins, R. Gisli, Simpson, Juliet K., Saini, Gauri, Bentley, Jane H., Russell, Anne-Marie, Braybrooke, Rebecca, Molyneux, Philip L., McKeever, Tricia M., Wells, Athol U., Flynn, Aiden, Hubbard, Richard B., Leeming, Diana J., Marshall, Richard P., Karsdal, Morten A., Lukey, Pauline T. and Maher, Toby M. (2015) Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study. Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 3 (6). pp. 462-472. ISSN 2213-2619 Aged; Biomarkers/blood; Cohort Studies; Collagen/*blood; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female Follow-Up Studies Humans Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/*blood Longitudinal Studies Male Matrix Metalloproteinases/*blood Prospective Studies http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221326001500048X doi:10.1016/s2213-2600(15)00048-x doi:10.1016/s2213-2600(15)00048-x
spellingShingle Aged; Biomarkers/blood; Cohort Studies; Collagen/*blood; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female Follow-Up Studies Humans Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/*blood Longitudinal Studies Male Matrix Metalloproteinases/*blood Prospective Studies
Jenkins, R. Gisli
Simpson, Juliet K.
Saini, Gauri
Bentley, Jane H.
Russell, Anne-Marie
Braybrooke, Rebecca
Molyneux, Philip L.
McKeever, Tricia M.
Wells, Athol U.
Flynn, Aiden
Hubbard, Richard B.
Leeming, Diana J.
Marshall, Richard P.
Karsdal, Morten A.
Lukey, Pauline T.
Maher, Toby M.
Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title_full Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title_fullStr Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title_full_unstemmed Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title_short Longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre PROFILE study
title_sort longitudinal change in collagen degradation biomarkers in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an analysis from the prospective, multicentre profile study
topic Aged; Biomarkers/blood; Cohort Studies; Collagen/*blood; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay; Female Follow-Up Studies Humans Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/*blood Longitudinal Studies Male Matrix Metalloproteinases/*blood Prospective Studies
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42455/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42455/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42455/