Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)

The openness of deregulation and access to the privatization in power transmission networks created the electricity exchange various level of liquidity and maturity in trading markets. The late establishment and immature system in Asia-pacific regions needs more patience and explorations for power m...

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Main Author: Wang, Yuelang
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42070/
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author Wang, Yuelang
author_facet Wang, Yuelang
author_sort Wang, Yuelang
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description The openness of deregulation and access to the privatization in power transmission networks created the electricity exchange various level of liquidity and maturity in trading markets. The late establishment and immature system in Asia-pacific regions needs more patience and explorations for power marketers to deal with the unforeseeable vagaries in selling futures and forwards contracts in spot markets.In this study, the hedging strategies effectiveness has been explored in Europe (United Kingdom, Germany and France) and in Asia Pacific (Australia). It should note that Germany, France and UK have the most liquid Electricity Spot and Futures and in Asia Pacific, the most liquid market Electricity markets remains in Australia. Singapore Futures market only opened in 2014, Japan and Korea Electricity Futures are at a study stage. By applying the approaches like naïve, OLS and CCGARCH for the given base- and peak- load daily data of monthly futures contracts, we find that under the conventional variance reduction measurement, peak-load futures hedging performance has been improved than base-load futures of both OLS and CCGARCH; whilst under Value at Risk (VaR) measurement, both contracts share the similar results in risk reductions. Besides, there indicates poor correlation between all spot and futures in four markets. The instability of electricity co-movements may imply a lot of limitations on exploiting potential merits of electricity futures for all market participants. The volatile movements in the contemporaneous relations of spot and futures may emphasize deficiency in assumptions of short-run relationships in both markets, which may hinder to achieve objective of active profitable trading.
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format Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
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language English
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spelling nottingham-420702017-10-13T01:08:13Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42070/ Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific) Wang, Yuelang The openness of deregulation and access to the privatization in power transmission networks created the electricity exchange various level of liquidity and maturity in trading markets. The late establishment and immature system in Asia-pacific regions needs more patience and explorations for power marketers to deal with the unforeseeable vagaries in selling futures and forwards contracts in spot markets.In this study, the hedging strategies effectiveness has been explored in Europe (United Kingdom, Germany and France) and in Asia Pacific (Australia). It should note that Germany, France and UK have the most liquid Electricity Spot and Futures and in Asia Pacific, the most liquid market Electricity markets remains in Australia. Singapore Futures market only opened in 2014, Japan and Korea Electricity Futures are at a study stage. By applying the approaches like naïve, OLS and CCGARCH for the given base- and peak- load daily data of monthly futures contracts, we find that under the conventional variance reduction measurement, peak-load futures hedging performance has been improved than base-load futures of both OLS and CCGARCH; whilst under Value at Risk (VaR) measurement, both contracts share the similar results in risk reductions. Besides, there indicates poor correlation between all spot and futures in four markets. The instability of electricity co-movements may imply a lot of limitations on exploiting potential merits of electricity futures for all market participants. The volatile movements in the contemporaneous relations of spot and futures may emphasize deficiency in assumptions of short-run relationships in both markets, which may hinder to achieve objective of active profitable trading. 2017 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42070/1/WangYuelang-42070.pdf Wang, Yuelang (2017) Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific). [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)] Electricity Spot and Futures Hedging Effectiveness Volatility Dynamics Comparison
spellingShingle Electricity Spot and Futures
Hedging Effectiveness
Volatility Dynamics
Comparison
Wang, Yuelang
Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title_full Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title_fullStr Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title_full_unstemmed Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title_short Comparative Study of Electricity Spot Price Volatility Dynamics and Hedging Effectiveness of Electricity Futures - International Comparison (Europe - Asia Pacific)
title_sort comparative study of electricity spot price volatility dynamics and hedging effectiveness of electricity futures - international comparison (europe - asia pacific)
topic Electricity Spot and Futures
Hedging Effectiveness
Volatility Dynamics
Comparison
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/42070/