Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach

Portfolio optimization involves the optimal assignment of limited capital to different available financial assets to achieve a reasonable trade-off between profit and risk. We consider an alternative Markowitz's mean-variance model, in which the variance is replaced with an industry standard ri...

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Main Authors: Lwin, Khin T., Qu, Rong, MacCarthy, Bart L.
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2017
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39884/
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author Lwin, Khin T.
Qu, Rong
MacCarthy, Bart L.
author_facet Lwin, Khin T.
Qu, Rong
MacCarthy, Bart L.
author_sort Lwin, Khin T.
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Portfolio optimization involves the optimal assignment of limited capital to different available financial assets to achieve a reasonable trade-off between profit and risk. We consider an alternative Markowitz's mean-variance model, in which the variance is replaced with an industry standard risk measure, Value-at-Risk (VaR), in order to better assess market risk exposure associated with financial and commodity asset price fluctuations. Realistic portfolio optimization in the mean-VaR framework is a challenging problem since optimizing VaR leads to a non-convex NP-hard problem which is computationally intractable. In this work, an efficient learning-guided hybrid multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MODE-GL) is proposed to solve mean-VaR portfolio optimization problems with real-world constraints such as cardinality, quantity, pre-assignment, round-lot and class constraints. A learning-guided solution generation strategy is incorporated into the multi-objective optimization process to promote efficient convergence by guiding the evolutionary search towards promising regions of the search space. The proposed algorithm is compared against the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) and the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA2). Experimental results using historical daily financial market data from S &P 100 and S & P 500 indices are presented. Experimental results shows that MODE-GL outperforms two existing techniques for this important class of portfolio investment problems in terms of solution quality and computational time. The results highlight that the proposed algorithm is able to solve the complex portfolio optimization without simplifications while obtaining good solutions in reasonable time and has significant potential for use in practice.
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spelling nottingham-398842020-05-04T18:55:50Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39884/ Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach Lwin, Khin T. Qu, Rong MacCarthy, Bart L. Portfolio optimization involves the optimal assignment of limited capital to different available financial assets to achieve a reasonable trade-off between profit and risk. We consider an alternative Markowitz's mean-variance model, in which the variance is replaced with an industry standard risk measure, Value-at-Risk (VaR), in order to better assess market risk exposure associated with financial and commodity asset price fluctuations. Realistic portfolio optimization in the mean-VaR framework is a challenging problem since optimizing VaR leads to a non-convex NP-hard problem which is computationally intractable. In this work, an efficient learning-guided hybrid multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MODE-GL) is proposed to solve mean-VaR portfolio optimization problems with real-world constraints such as cardinality, quantity, pre-assignment, round-lot and class constraints. A learning-guided solution generation strategy is incorporated into the multi-objective optimization process to promote efficient convergence by guiding the evolutionary search towards promising regions of the search space. The proposed algorithm is compared against the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) and the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA2). Experimental results using historical daily financial market data from S &P 100 and S & P 500 indices are presented. Experimental results shows that MODE-GL outperforms two existing techniques for this important class of portfolio investment problems in terms of solution quality and computational time. The results highlight that the proposed algorithm is able to solve the complex portfolio optimization without simplifications while obtaining good solutions in reasonable time and has significant potential for use in practice. Elsevier 2017-07-16 Article PeerReviewed Lwin, Khin T., Qu, Rong and MacCarthy, Bart L. (2017) Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 260 (2). pp. 751-766. ISSN 0377-2217 Evolutionary computations Multi-objective Constrained Portfolio Optimization Value at Risk Nonparametric Historical Simulation http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221717300103 doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2017.01.005 doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2017.01.005
spellingShingle Evolutionary computations
Multi-objective Constrained Portfolio Optimization
Value at Risk
Nonparametric Historical Simulation
Lwin, Khin T.
Qu, Rong
MacCarthy, Bart L.
Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title_full Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title_fullStr Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title_full_unstemmed Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title_short Mean-VaR portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
title_sort mean-var portfolio optimization: a nonparametric approach
topic Evolutionary computations
Multi-objective Constrained Portfolio Optimization
Value at Risk
Nonparametric Historical Simulation
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39884/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39884/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39884/