Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963

Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Leader of the Labour Party in 2015 stunned observers and practitioners of British politics alike. In this article, we first outline a theoretical framework that purports to explain why political parties operating in parliamentary systems choose the leaders they do. We the...

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Main Authors: Denham, Andrew, Dorey, Peter
Format: Article
Published: Palgrave Macmillan 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39877/
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author Denham, Andrew
Dorey, Peter
author_facet Denham, Andrew
Dorey, Peter
author_sort Denham, Andrew
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Leader of the Labour Party in 2015 stunned observers and practitioners of British politics alike. In this article, we first outline a theoretical framework that purports to explain why political parties operating in parliamentary systems choose the leaders they do. We then examine 32 leadership successions involving five major British parties since 1963, and note that many of these were unexpected, in that they were triggered by unforeseen circumstances, such as the sudden death or resignation of the incumbent. Examining each party in turn, we briefly explain why the winners won and identify at least eight cases (a quarter of our sample) where a candidate widely expected to prevail at the outset was ultimately defeated by a ‘dark horse’, ‘second favourite’ or even ‘rank outsider’. Of these, Corbyn’s election in 2015 was the most unexpected and, consistent with the findings of studies of party leadership conventions in other parliamentary systems, namely Canada and Spain, suggests that ideological and policy concerns are sometimes more important than considerations of party unity and electability, especially when a leadership contest is dominated by party activists.
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spelling nottingham-398772020-05-04T19:38:37Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39877/ Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963 Denham, Andrew Dorey, Peter Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Leader of the Labour Party in 2015 stunned observers and practitioners of British politics alike. In this article, we first outline a theoretical framework that purports to explain why political parties operating in parliamentary systems choose the leaders they do. We then examine 32 leadership successions involving five major British parties since 1963, and note that many of these were unexpected, in that they were triggered by unforeseen circumstances, such as the sudden death or resignation of the incumbent. Examining each party in turn, we briefly explain why the winners won and identify at least eight cases (a quarter of our sample) where a candidate widely expected to prevail at the outset was ultimately defeated by a ‘dark horse’, ‘second favourite’ or even ‘rank outsider’. Of these, Corbyn’s election in 2015 was the most unexpected and, consistent with the findings of studies of party leadership conventions in other parliamentary systems, namely Canada and Spain, suggests that ideological and policy concerns are sometimes more important than considerations of party unity and electability, especially when a leadership contest is dominated by party activists. Palgrave Macmillan 2018-06-01 Article PeerReviewed Denham, Andrew and Dorey, Peter (2018) Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963. British Politics, 13 (2). pp. 171-194. ISSN 1746-9198 Political parties; party leaders; leadership selection; parliamentary systems; Members of Parliament (MPs); party members; Britain; Canada; Spain; leadership conventions https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41293-017-0044-x doi:10.1057/s41293-017-0044-x doi:10.1057/s41293-017-0044-x
spellingShingle Political parties; party leaders; leadership selection; parliamentary systems; Members of Parliament (MPs); party members; Britain; Canada; Spain; leadership conventions
Denham, Andrew
Dorey, Peter
Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title_full Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title_fullStr Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title_full_unstemmed Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title_short Tales of the unexpected: the selection of British party leaders since 1963
title_sort tales of the unexpected: the selection of british party leaders since 1963
topic Political parties; party leaders; leadership selection; parliamentary systems; Members of Parliament (MPs); party members; Britain; Canada; Spain; leadership conventions
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39877/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39877/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/39877/