The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy
This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, includin...
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| Format: | Article |
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Oxford University Press
2016
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| Online Access: | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38537/ |
| _version_ | 1848795634639831040 |
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| author | Matta, Samer Appleton, Simon Bleaney, Michael |
| author_facet | Matta, Samer Appleton, Simon Bleaney, Michael |
| author_sort | Matta, Samer |
| building | Nottingham Research Data Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia’s economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:35:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | nottingham-38537 |
| institution | University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:35:12Z |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publisher | Oxford University Press |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | nottingham-385372020-05-04T18:20:44Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38537/ The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy Matta, Samer Appleton, Simon Bleaney, Michael This paper uses Synthetic Control Methodology to estimate the output loss in Tunisia as a result of the “Arab Spring.” The results suggest that the loss was 5.5 percent, 5.1 percent, and 6.4 percent of GDP in 2011, 2012, and 2013 respectively. These findings are robust to a series of tests, including placebo tests, and are consistent with those from an Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model of Tunisia’s economic growth. Moreover, this paper finds that investment was the main channel through which the economy was adversely impacted by the Arab Spring. Oxford University Press 2016-11-17 Article PeerReviewed Matta, Samer, Appleton, Simon and Bleaney, Michael (2016) The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy. World Bank Economic Review . ISSN 1564-698X Arab Spring Tunisia Economic Impact Synthetic Control Methodology http://wber.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2016/11/05/wber.lhw059.full.pdf+html doi:10.1093/wber/lhw059 doi:10.1093/wber/lhw059 |
| spellingShingle | Arab Spring Tunisia Economic Impact Synthetic Control Methodology Matta, Samer Appleton, Simon Bleaney, Michael The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title | The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title_full | The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title_fullStr | The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title_full_unstemmed | The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title_short | The impact of the Arab Spring on the Tunisian economy |
| title_sort | impact of the arab spring on the tunisian economy |
| topic | Arab Spring Tunisia Economic Impact Synthetic Control Methodology |
| url | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38537/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38537/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38537/ |