How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil
This chapter focuses on party switching. The civil-war cleavage that differentiated the two main Irish parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, has been gradually diminishing in importance in recent decades. This trend reached a crescendo in 2011, when the incumbent Fianna Fáil party saw a dramatic decli...
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| Format: | Book Section |
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Oxford University Press
2017
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| Online Access: | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38103/ |
| _version_ | 1848795598358052864 |
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| author | van der Eijk, Cees Elkink, Johan A. |
| author2 | Marsh, Michael |
| author_facet | Marsh, Michael van der Eijk, Cees Elkink, Johan A. |
| author_sort | van der Eijk, Cees |
| building | Nottingham Research Data Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | This chapter focuses on party switching. The civil-war cleavage that differentiated the two main Irish parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, has been gradually diminishing in importance in recent decades. This trend reached a crescendo in 2011, when the incumbent Fianna Fáil party saw a dramatic decline in voter support, with swathes of its core voters switching to the main opposition party, Fine Gael. This volatility must be seen from the perspective of a generational replacement. To understand the potential for electoral switching, as opposed to change after the fact, the chapter investigates the configuration of voters’ preferences expressed through propensity to vote questions in the INES. The general framework provides theoretical tools better to understand the scale of Fianna Fáil’s defeat, as unique commitment to that party had declined markedly from the position a generation previously and it was thus more vulnerable to punishment following the crisis. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:34:38Z |
| format | Book Section |
| id | nottingham-38103 |
| institution | University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T19:34:38Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Oxford University Press |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | nottingham-381032020-05-04T18:37:07Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38103/ How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil van der Eijk, Cees Elkink, Johan A. This chapter focuses on party switching. The civil-war cleavage that differentiated the two main Irish parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, has been gradually diminishing in importance in recent decades. This trend reached a crescendo in 2011, when the incumbent Fianna Fáil party saw a dramatic decline in voter support, with swathes of its core voters switching to the main opposition party, Fine Gael. This volatility must be seen from the perspective of a generational replacement. To understand the potential for electoral switching, as opposed to change after the fact, the chapter investigates the configuration of voters’ preferences expressed through propensity to vote questions in the INES. The general framework provides theoretical tools better to understand the scale of Fianna Fáil’s defeat, as unique commitment to that party had declined markedly from the position a generation previously and it was thus more vulnerable to punishment following the crisis. Oxford University Press Marsh, Michael Farrell, David McElroy, Gail 2017-03-09 Book Section PeerReviewed van der Eijk, Cees and Elkink, Johan A. (2017) How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil. In: A conservative revolution?: electoral change in 21st century Ireland. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 102-122. ISBN 9780198744030 party switching propensity to vote generational replacement electoral resilience cleavage voting Fianna Fáil Ireland elections http://www.oxfordscholarship.com/view/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744030.001.0001/acprof-9780198744030 doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744030.001.0001 doi:10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198744030.001.0001 |
| spellingShingle | party switching propensity to vote generational replacement electoral resilience cleavage voting Fianna Fáil Ireland elections van der Eijk, Cees Elkink, Johan A. How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title | How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title_full | How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title_fullStr | How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title_full_unstemmed | How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title_short | How generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of Fianna Fáil |
| title_sort | how generational replacement undermined the electoral resilience of fianna fáil |
| topic | party switching propensity to vote generational replacement electoral resilience cleavage voting Fianna Fáil Ireland elections |
| url | https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38103/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38103/ https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/38103/ |