What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia

The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any lon...

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Main Author: Trumm, Siim
Format: Article
Published: SAGE 2016
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Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/37003/
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author Trumm, Siim
author_facet Trumm, Siim
author_sort Trumm, Siim
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collection Online Access
description The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any longer. Building on these insights, this study goes beyond the party-level analyses of electoral success and failure by focusing on the electoral fortunes of individual candidates in a post-communist democracy. Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates’ campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local-level and national-level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party’s district-level list.
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spelling nottingham-370032020-05-04T17:29:13Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/37003/ What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia Trumm, Siim The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any longer. Building on these insights, this study goes beyond the party-level analyses of electoral success and failure by focusing on the electoral fortunes of individual candidates in a post-communist democracy. Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates’ campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local-level and national-level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party’s district-level list. SAGE 2016-02-01 Article PeerReviewed Trumm, Siim (2016) What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia. East European Politics and Societies, 30 (1). pp. 169-188. ISSN 1533-8371 electoral performance party organisation campaign spending post-communist politics Estonia http://eep.sagepub.com/content/30/1/169 doi:10.1177/0888325415577862 doi:10.1177/0888325415577862
spellingShingle electoral performance
party organisation
campaign spending
post-communist politics
Estonia
Trumm, Siim
What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title_full What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title_fullStr What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title_full_unstemmed What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title_short What does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? Explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in Estonia
title_sort what does it take to get elected in a post-communist democracy? explaining the success and failure of parliamentary candidates in estonia
topic electoral performance
party organisation
campaign spending
post-communist politics
Estonia
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/37003/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/37003/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/37003/