An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies

In this thesis, we firstly presented a deep analysis of different bankruptcy prediction models, aiming to find out which model provides more accurate predictions. Secondly, we conducted an empirical analysis to determine the main factors led to the recent crisis in oil and gas industry, using a samp...

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Main Author: Bayramova, Sevinj
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Language:English
Published: 2016
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36970/
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author Bayramova, Sevinj
author_facet Bayramova, Sevinj
author_sort Bayramova, Sevinj
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description In this thesis, we firstly presented a deep analysis of different bankruptcy prediction models, aiming to find out which model provides more accurate predictions. Secondly, we conducted an empirical analysis to determine the main factors led to the recent crisis in oil and gas industry, using a sample of 240 oil and gas companies from U.K., U.S. and Canada markets. We sought to develop a comprehensive model to forecast default probability, and we are particularly interested in incorporating the financial, macroeconomic, risk management and corporate governance variables into the same model in order to find out all possible internal and external factors that causing corporate bankruptcy. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to account for study to account for risk management and corporate governance bankruptcy prediction literature. As a result of our research we found that the profitability, leverage, liquidity, firm size, risk management, corporate governance and macroeconomic changes are all significant determinants of bankruptcy.
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format Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
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institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
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language English
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publishDate 2016
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spelling nottingham-369702017-10-19T17:05:03Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36970/ An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies Bayramova, Sevinj In this thesis, we firstly presented a deep analysis of different bankruptcy prediction models, aiming to find out which model provides more accurate predictions. Secondly, we conducted an empirical analysis to determine the main factors led to the recent crisis in oil and gas industry, using a sample of 240 oil and gas companies from U.K., U.S. and Canada markets. We sought to develop a comprehensive model to forecast default probability, and we are particularly interested in incorporating the financial, macroeconomic, risk management and corporate governance variables into the same model in order to find out all possible internal and external factors that causing corporate bankruptcy. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to account for study to account for risk management and corporate governance bankruptcy prediction literature. As a result of our research we found that the profitability, leverage, liquidity, firm size, risk management, corporate governance and macroeconomic changes are all significant determinants of bankruptcy. 2016-09-15 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36970/1/final.pdf Bayramova, Sevinj (2016) An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle Bayramova, Sevinj
An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title_full An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title_fullStr An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title_full_unstemmed An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title_short An Empirical Analysis of Bankruptcy Risk in Oil and Gas Companies
title_sort empirical analysis of bankruptcy risk in oil and gas companies
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36970/