Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies

We investigate the relationship between firm specific and macro variables on credit default spreads. We collect weekly CDS spreads for North American companies, as well as firm specific and macro variables, from July 2011 to July 2016. A panel based model to conduct both fixed effects and OLS regres...

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Main Author: MEHTA, AAYUSH
Format: Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)
Published: 2016
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36269/
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author MEHTA, AAYUSH
author_facet MEHTA, AAYUSH
author_sort MEHTA, AAYUSH
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description We investigate the relationship between firm specific and macro variables on credit default spreads. We collect weekly CDS spreads for North American companies, as well as firm specific and macro variables, from July 2011 to July 2016. A panel based model to conduct both fixed effects and OLS regressions on the levels and differences datasets. The variables used in our regressions are in line with the theoretical and additional variables mentioned by Ericsson and Colin Dufresne which consist of leverage, risk free rate, equity volatility, Vix index, and slope. We collect weekly CDS spreads for North American companies, as well as firm specific and macro variables, from July 2011 to July 2016.The explanatory power of our variables in the OLS regression is 22% and extends to 35% in our robustness analysis for our levels dataset. While the R square for our differences dataset in the OLS regression is 13.8% and extends to 14.5% in the robustness analysis. Our results suggest that theoretical determinants (leverage, equity volatility & risk free rate) have rather limited explanatory power, and that additional determinants contain useful information about the CDS spreads.
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institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
institution_category Local University
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publishDate 2016
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spelling nottingham-362692021-06-11T15:21:09Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36269/ Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies MEHTA, AAYUSH We investigate the relationship between firm specific and macro variables on credit default spreads. We collect weekly CDS spreads for North American companies, as well as firm specific and macro variables, from July 2011 to July 2016. A panel based model to conduct both fixed effects and OLS regressions on the levels and differences datasets. The variables used in our regressions are in line with the theoretical and additional variables mentioned by Ericsson and Colin Dufresne which consist of leverage, risk free rate, equity volatility, Vix index, and slope. We collect weekly CDS spreads for North American companies, as well as firm specific and macro variables, from July 2011 to July 2016.The explanatory power of our variables in the OLS regression is 22% and extends to 35% in our robustness analysis for our levels dataset. While the R square for our differences dataset in the OLS regression is 13.8% and extends to 14.5% in the robustness analysis. Our results suggest that theoretical determinants (leverage, equity volatility & risk free rate) have rather limited explanatory power, and that additional determinants contain useful information about the CDS spreads. 2016-09-06 Dissertation (University of Nottingham only) NonPeerReviewed MEHTA, AAYUSH (2016) Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies. [Dissertation (University of Nottingham only)]
spellingShingle MEHTA, AAYUSH
Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title_full Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title_fullStr Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title_short Determinants of Credit Default Swaps for North American Companies
title_sort determinants of credit default swaps for north american companies
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/36269/