Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation

There is growing support for making the study of mathematics to age 18 compulsory for all young people in England. This paper aims to inform this debate through new insights into historic A-level Mathematics participation trends. We analyse full-year cohorts from the Department for Education’s Nat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Noyes, Andrew, Adkins, Michael
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press 2016
Online Access:https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/31216/
_version_ 1848794152738750464
author Noyes, Andrew
Adkins, Michael
author_facet Noyes, Andrew
Adkins, Michael
author_sort Noyes, Andrew
building Nottingham Research Data Repository
collection Online Access
description There is growing support for making the study of mathematics to age 18 compulsory for all young people in England. This paper aims to inform this debate through new insights into historic A-level Mathematics participation trends. We analyse full-year cohorts from the Department for Education’s National Pupil Database for age-16 students from 2004-2010, a total of just over 4.5 million young people. Using a cohort-tracking approach we aim to better understand the flow of young people through upper secondary mathematics education. Earlier work identified GCSE attainment as the strongest predictor of A-Level Mathematics participation. In this paper we show that the percentage of students progressing to A-Level by GCSE grade has not changed significantly over the period in question, with some exceptions. This implies that the increase in A-level Mathematics numbers is largely explained by the growing proportion of higher GCSE grades. We discuss the implications for policy that this raises, e.g. the possible impact of making GCSE mathematics more demanding.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T19:11:39Z
format Article
id nottingham-31216
institution University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T19:11:39Z
publishDate 2016
publisher Oxford University Press
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling nottingham-312162020-05-04T17:33:08Z https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/31216/ Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation Noyes, Andrew Adkins, Michael There is growing support for making the study of mathematics to age 18 compulsory for all young people in England. This paper aims to inform this debate through new insights into historic A-level Mathematics participation trends. We analyse full-year cohorts from the Department for Education’s National Pupil Database for age-16 students from 2004-2010, a total of just over 4.5 million young people. Using a cohort-tracking approach we aim to better understand the flow of young people through upper secondary mathematics education. Earlier work identified GCSE attainment as the strongest predictor of A-Level Mathematics participation. In this paper we show that the percentage of students progressing to A-Level by GCSE grade has not changed significantly over the period in question, with some exceptions. This implies that the increase in A-level Mathematics numbers is largely explained by the growing proportion of higher GCSE grades. We discuss the implications for policy that this raises, e.g. the possible impact of making GCSE mathematics more demanding. Oxford University Press 2016-01-07 Article PeerReviewed Noyes, Andrew and Adkins, Michael (2016) Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation. Teaching Mathematics and its Applications . ISSN 1471-6976 http://teamat.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2016/01/07/teamat.hrv016.full doi:10.1093/teamat/hrv016 doi:10.1093/teamat/hrv016
spellingShingle Noyes, Andrew
Adkins, Michael
Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title_full Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title_fullStr Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title_full_unstemmed Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title_short Reconsidering the rise in A-level mathematics participation
title_sort reconsidering the rise in a-level mathematics participation
url https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/31216/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/31216/
https://eprints.nottingham.ac.uk/31216/